OH-Sen 2010: Voinovich and Ryan Tied
by Jonathan Singer, Wed Jun 18, 2008 at 03:31:36 AM EDT
Last week I noted that Ohio Republican Senator George Voinovich appears uniquely weak in his reelection hopes for next cycle. Although numbers today are not necessarily predictive of results five months out from an election day, let alone two years and five months, warning signs are warning signs, and when an incumbent is mired with a low approval rating that just isn't budging, it isn't a good omen for his hopes at another term. Likewise, when an incumbent is tied in head-to-head polling a cycle out, as is the case with Voinovich in the latest Public Policy Polling survey (.pdf), it doesn't instill too much confidence in that incumbent's standing with the electorate.
George Voinovich (R): 33 percent
Tim Ryan (D): 33 percent
George Voinovich (R): 37
Betty Sutton (D): 32
In the past I have written about Tim Ryan, a young Democratic Congressman who is a real up-and-comer within the party. Betty Sutton is also a member of the House representing the state of Ohio, one who also clearly would have a shot at knocking Voinovich off next cycle, though she, like Ryan, would have to build up her fundraising efforts to make the most of this opportunity (she has just over $250k in the bank at this juncture). But whether it's Ryan or Sutton or someone else, this will definitely be one of the big races to watch intently starting in about January or a little thereafter.