NBC/WSJ Poll: Obama Up By 6
by Todd Beeton, Wed Jun 11, 2008 at 05:36:56 PM EDT
Things are looking very good for Barack Obama 5 months out from election day according to the new NBC News/Wall St. Journal Poll (1000 RVs, 6/6-9, MOE +/- 4%.) While Barack Obama has led John McCain in this survey ever since March, post-primary, Barack Obama now leads John McCain by 6 points.
Looking at the demographic breakdown, Barack Obama does well among those groups traditionally seen as both his own core base of support as well as Hillary Clinton's:
In the head-to-head matchup, Obama leads McCain among African Americans (83-7 percent), Hispanics (62-28), women (52-33), Catholics (47-40), independents (41-36) and even blue-collar workers (47-42). Obama is also ahead among those who said they voted for Clinton in the Democratic primaries (61-19)...Obama has a seven-point advantage (46-39) among all white women.
So why is this thing even as close as it is? White dudes.
Yet among white men -- who made up 36 percent of the electorate in the 2004 presidential election -- Obama trails McCain by 20 points, 55-35 percent.
Now, it should be noted that even with what looks like a solid percentage of Clinton's supporters on board with Obama, adding Hillary Clinton to the ticket is a big plus, getting the Democratic ticket up above the 50% mark, poised for a landslide victory in November.
The key: the noncommital voters categorized as "not sure,""other" or "depends" break overwhelmingly for Obama/Clinton.