Pew Confirms McCain's Huge Weakness: Bush

A new national Pew poll conducted May 21-25 (n=1505, MOE +/-3%) sheds some light into the challenges ahead for McCain:


Regardless of whether they believe McCain represents the status quo or change, the vast majority of voters want to see a break from the policies of the Bush administration. Roughly three-quarters either say a continuation of Bush's policies would be a bad thing (37%) or that a new direction for the country would be a good thing (36%). Very few say that a continuation of Bush policies would be a good thing (4%) or a different direction would be a bad thing (4%).

Even among Republicans, more than half say McCain represents change and this is a good thing. Only 6% say McCain representing change is a bad thing. Similarly only 10% of GOP voters say McCain continuing Bush's policies would be a good thing.

Among independents, a plurality (40%) say McCain will pursue a new direction and this is a good thing. The most prevalent view among Democrats is that McCain will continue Bush's policies and this is a bad thing (64%).

In addition, the percentage of Americans who think the country is headed in the right direction has hit an all-time low:

Just 18% of Americans say they are satisfied with the way things are going in the country today, down from 22% in March and 27% at the end of 2007. This represents a new low in 20 years of Pew Research Center polling. Previously, the lowest measure of satisfaction was in September 1993 when 20% of Americans were satisfied with the state of the nation.

McCain isn't sunk yet, though, as there are some indications that Republicans are starting to think McCain is actually a break from Bush:

Voters are evenly divided over whether a McCain presidency would mean a continuation of Bush's policies (44%) or a new direction for the country (45%). However, Republicans are increasingly convinced that McCain will chart a new course. By a margin of 69%-22%, Republicans say McCain represents a new direction rather than a continuation of the Bush era. This is a significant change from just two months ago when 53% of GOP voters said a McCain presidency would result in real change, and 36% said McCain would continue Bush's policies.

The danger for McCain is clear: only 4% (!!!) think a continuation of Bush policies is a good thing. And as I pointed out before, McCain voted with Bush 95% of the time in 2007 and a full 100% of the time in 2008.

The poll also shows Obama's negatives slipping some, possibly as a result of the continued primary.

And this doesn't stop at the presidential level. With nearly the entire US population thinking Bush's policies must end, is it any surprise that the GOP can't keep a lead in a Senate race for Trent Lott's old seat in Mississippi?

Tags: George Bush, John McCain (all tags)

Comments

12 Comments

More proof

That Obama and Clinton are both quite electable against such a weak opponent.  Clinton knows that whoever wins the nomination is essentially the next President.  

by semiquaver 2008-05-29 01:40PM | 0 recs
Re: Pew Confirms McCain's Huge Weakness: Bush

http://mccainsource.com/mccain_fact_chec k?id=0012

Over the last seven years, McCain voted with Bush over 90% of the time.

Maverick my ass...

by jkfp2004 2008-05-29 01:46PM | 0 recs
Re: Pew Confirms McCain's Huge Weakness: Bush

By November everyone will know that McCain is tied to Bush.

by MissVA 2008-05-29 01:54PM | 0 recs
Re: Pew Confirms McCain's Huge Weakness: Bush

And you guys think that McCain is going to beat Obama?

That's it's a sure thing that Obama will lose?

Complete craziness.  Total lack of spine as well.  

by Lawyerish 2008-05-29 02:01PM | 0 recs
Gallup poll has shown that

Bush hurts McCain MORE than Reverend Wright hurts Obama.

Obama needs to wrap Bush around McCain's neck EVERY single day from now until November.

by puma 2008-05-29 02:16PM | 0 recs
Re: Pew Confirms McCain's Huge Weakness: Bush

I think any discontent among the D base will be neutralized by the fact that most of the hard core conservative voters find McCain too liberal, and the independants find him too conservative. He's going to spend most of the GE pandering to one consituency while pissing off the other.

by Djo Dos 2008-05-29 02:28PM | 0 recs
the google-bomb effort will be important

because too many people think McCain is a moderate. Even my stepmother, who would never vote for a Republican, thought he wasn't so bad because he's pro-choice. I set her straight on that right away!

I am making sure that my "home blog," Bleeding Heartland, links to all of the articles identified by Chris Bowers as likely to be damaging to McCain. I encourage everyone to put these links in your comment signatures or on your own blogs, if you have one.

http://www.openleft.com/showDiary.do?dia ryId=6044

by desmoinesdem 2008-05-29 03:18PM | 0 recs
Re: Pew Confirms McCain's Huge Weakness: Bush

How many comments will this post on the front page? Oh that's right this is about McCain and not about Obama/Clinton. It'll probably merit 30 comments since it's not "sexy" enough.

No matter what Democratic nominee you support, it's time to focus our energy on McCain. There is sooooooooo much crap that is just waiting to be dug up on this guy. That's what you get when you live for 70+ years.

by applejackking 2008-05-29 03:25PM | 0 recs
Re: Pew Confirms McCain's Huge Weakness: Bush

i checking to see if people are talking about this front page diary, but it looks like no.  I am starting to wonder how many real supporters of democrats are here and how many are just republicans trying to pit us against each other.

by Xris 2008-05-29 07:23PM | 0 recs
Re: Pew Confirms McCain's Huge Weakness: Bush

For the horde!!!

No reason to say that, but I get pumped when we start taking it to McCain.

by Xris 2008-05-29 06:41PM | 0 recs
Re: Pew Confirms McCain's Huge Weakness: Bush

Like I've said all along:

Call them Zach W. Morris and AC McSlater.

The Saved by the Bell characters match them in a lot of ways (lazy slackers, one being a preppie who backs into Yale, the other being a military brat, pretend to have differences but are best friends.)

by BlueEngineerInOhio 2008-05-29 07:56PM | 0 recs
Re: Pew Confirms McCain's Huge Weakness: Bush

McCain is toast.

by spacemanspiff 2008-05-30 09:10AM | 0 recs

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