Puerto Rico Continues To Be Clinton Country
by Todd Beeton, Wed May 28, 2008 at 06:05:55 PM EDT
Missed this earlier. A poll conducted by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research for Vocero/Univision from May 8-May 20 (prior to the candidates' Memorial Day weekend visits to Puerto Rico) shows Clinton leading Barack Obama in advance of Sunday's primary there. According to Pollster, her lead is 13% among adults, but that rises to 19% among the most likely voters:
n= ~300 likely voters
An article I cited last weekend stated pretty emphatically that apathy had set in among the electorate due to the general sense that their vote actually wouldn't matter. This poll would seem to contradict that. From el cito's diary from earlier today:
50% of the electorate says it will not participate in the primary.
To the question of how important is the role of Puerto Rico in deciding the democratic presidential candidate, 46% very important, 26% somewhat important, 13% of little importance and 14% not important at all.
Out of 2.3 million voters in the territory, half would put turnout at up over 1 million voters, which was seen as the high end of estimates to begin with. And if 72% of Puerto Rico's voters really do see their role on Sunday as very or somewhat important, apathy doesn't seem to be a problem (a 13% win on Sunday with 1 million turnout would net Hillary a solid 130,000 votes.)
On a somewhat related note, Puerto Rico hometown hero Ricky Martin endorsed Hillary Clinton today.