Et tu, Nevada?
by Jerome Armstrong, Thu May 22, 2008 at 03:19:16 PM EDT
Nevada polling by Rasmussen:
I gather, from reading the comments after asking why Clinton does so well in the Electoral Vote recently, when looking only at the last poll done in each state, the answers come in two varieties:
A: Because she's more electable than Obama and will win against McCain (Obama 'could' win but might lose).
B: Because Clinton is receiving a 'unity' boost among Obama supporters whom are saying they support Clinton in polls, and that love is not being reciprocated by Clinton supporters for Obama.
The trend of this happening has the backdrop of the economy becoming the main issue over the past 6 months, and Clinton is possibly perceived as having a better handle on that than either Obama or McCain. Meanwhile, the issue of Iraq has dropped to the cluster of second-place issues.
But in this particular poll, while there is a divide over the economy that favors Clinton by a bit over Obama vs Clinton, its the issue of Immigration, which 18% of Nevadans place as their top issue, that Obama (7-70) lags behind Clinton (26-52), vs McCain. Though this result may just be noise (while Obama has been trending down in support among these issue-voters in Nevada vs McCain for this year, Clinton's rise is in this single poll), I doubt its the sort of confirmation of voters that are switching from Obama to Clinton, in this poll, that the Obama unity boosters in camp B, have in mind, though maybe A.
Update [2008-5-22 19:19:16 by Jerome Armstrong]: Clinton gets her own Brutus today, in the form of NY Gov David Paterson:
Paterson also likens the moral legitimacy of Clinton's popular vote argument to not counting Michigan.