Obama Looking Strong In Early Pennsylvania Exit Polls
by Todd Beeton, Tue Apr 22, 2008 at 02:11:15 PM EDT
Jim Geraghty, who's always reliable for some early exit polls on election day, has Obama up by a larger margin than one would expect even factoring in the usual Obama-bias the early exit polls seem to have traditionally.
Hold on to your hats. I've gotten the usual word of the exit poll results from one of my usual reliable sources. He notes that Obama traditionally over-performs in the earliest exit polls, and that he expects the numbers to change as the night wears on - perhaps a reversal.
But right now, the exits are saying Obama 52 percent, Clinton 47 percent.
Take these results with the usual grains of salt and skepticism. I'm told that Obama is carrying blue collar workers two to one, and he's winning Philadelphia in the neighborhood of three to one.
As usual, if you're a Pennsylvanian and haven't voted yet, don't let these or any other numbers discourage you.
Looks like some potential good news for Obama from fladem over at Open Left as well:
CNN (via Markos) has some Exit Poll numbers:
Seniors: 61C, 38O
White male: 55C, 45O
Blacks: 8C, 92O
The last SurveyUSA had Obama winning the African American vote 87-11 and had Clinton leading among seniors 62-32.
Hmm, is this going to be a long night or is it just one of those nights that looks like it's going to be long but then isn't?
Update [2008-4-22 18:57:25 by Todd Beeton]:For what it's worth, Drudge is reporting that the first wave of exit polls show Clinton up 4 points at 52-48. Marc Ambinder is understandably skeptical of anything Drudge reports but still says:
Not for nothing, I'd characterize the mood of the Clinton campaign as cautiously optimistic, and that of the Obama campaign as optimistically resigned.