Obama Up 18, 20 Points in New North Carolina Polling
by Jonathan Singer, Mon Apr 14, 2008 at 12:48:53 PM EDT
Today brings news of two new polls out of North Carolina ahead of the state's
March May 6 Democratic presidential primary (when I'm going too quickly my fingers sometimes confuse those two months), one from Democratic pollster Public Policy Polling (.pdf) and one from The Civitas Institute. I've included them below, along with the latest Pollster.com trend estimate (which includes the PPP poll but not the Civitas poll) and the Real Clear Politics average (which includes neither recent poll).
For reference, the PPP poll was in the field over the weekend while the Civitas poll, which was conducted by TelOpinion Research was in the field a little earlier, Wednesday and Thursday. Both surveys seem to generally be in line with other polling showing Barack Obama up and up big over Hillary Clinton in North Carolina, with the PPP poll, in particular, suggesting that Obama did not take a significant initial hit in the Tarheel state resulting from the coverage of his admittedly poorly worded comments. For now, Clinton is going to have to do some serious legwork in the state if she hopes to limit the potential damage there, both in terms of delegates (which actually matter) and popular vote (which matters to perception more than anything else but which the Clinton campaign is talking a lot about these days).