Obama Up 18, 20 Points in New North Carolina Polling

Today brings news of two new polls out of North Carolina ahead of the state's March May 6 Democratic presidential primary (when I'm going too quickly my fingers sometimes confuse those two months), one from Democratic pollster Public Policy Polling (.pdf) and one from The Civitas Institute. I've included them below, along with the latest Pollster.com trend estimate (which includes the PPP poll but not the Civitas poll) and the Real Clear Politics average (which includes neither recent poll).

CandidatePPPCivitasPollsterRCP
Obama544554.248.6
Clinton342736.333.0

For reference, the PPP poll was in the field over the weekend while the Civitas poll, which was conducted by TelOpinion Research was in the field a little earlier, Wednesday and Thursday. Both surveys seem to generally be in line with other polling showing Barack Obama up and up big over Hillary Clinton in North Carolina, with the PPP poll, in particular, suggesting that Obama did not take a significant initial hit in the Tarheel state resulting from the coverage of his admittedly poorly worded comments. For now, Clinton is going to have to do some serious legwork in the state if she hopes to limit the potential damage there, both in terms of delegates (which actually matter) and popular vote (which matters to perception more than anything else but which the Clinton campaign is talking a lot about these days).

Tags: Democratic primaries, North Carolina, North Carolina Primary (all tags)

Comments

11 Comments

Re: Obama Up 18, 20 Points in New North Carolina P

You seem to be trying very hard to dispel any impact of his words.

You  can't know until the election day

by lori 2008-04-14 12:55PM | 0 recs
Re: Obama Up 18, 20 Points in New North Carolina P

I'll be looking for you to tell the same to those who assure that Hillary will win PA by double digits.

by Kobi 2008-04-14 01:00PM | 0 recs
can I quote you on every Hillary leading polls?

by kindthoughts 2008-04-14 05:20PM | 0 recs
Re: Obama Up 18, 20 Points in New North Carolina P

May 6th, not March 6th, for the primary.

by gcensr 2008-04-14 12:57PM | 0 recs
Re: Obama Up 18, 20 Points in New North Carolina P

I don't think we should--or should need to--trust any poll that doesn't push leaners.

by along 2008-04-14 01:01PM | 0 recs
Re: 50% of NC Dems are black

Black voters.  They just don't know what's good for them!

by Drummond 2008-04-14 01:14PM | 0 recs
Re: Obama Up 18, 20 Points in New North Carolina P

When a candidate is receiving 95% of the Black vote in a Democratic primary in any given state, the other candidate has absolutely NO SHOT to win the state with out taking 80% of the white vote.

by nzubechukwu 2008-04-14 01:15PM | 0 recs
Re: Obama Up 18, 20 Points in New North Carolina P

You can't say that because in NC, McCain is beating Obama.  All the African Americans can vote for Obama, but if all the Republicans in the state vote for McCain, it will negate the African American vote.

Hillary has a better chance against McCain.

If Obama is the nominee, McCain is the new President.

by stefystef 2008-04-14 06:47PM | 0 recs
NC is becoming Obama's firewall state (n/t)

by ineedalife 2008-04-14 02:19PM | 0 recs
After looking over a number

of your comments I am convinced you are the Jonh harding was a friend to poor user that got banned.

by kindthoughts 2008-04-14 05:08PM | 0 recs
Re: Obama Up 18, 20 Points in New North Carolina P

Doesn't matter: NC is a 'boutique state'

by mikeinsf 2008-04-15 01:07AM | 0 recs

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