The Week Ahead
by Jerome Armstrong, Wed Feb 06, 2008 at 12:53:49 PM EST
My guess was that Clinton would start to pull away after yesterday's results, but not so. We have a barnburner of a race that's nearly tied in delegates, which are still being counted from yesterday. Whatever difference that comes out of yesterday will be pretty small, with a Clinton advantage. But Obama has the advantage of more cash and, for the short-term, a more favorable calendar.
With 21 states to go, looking to over the next week we have:
Louisiana-- a state-run primary that will choose 56 delegates based on the contest. 37 are tied to CD's and 19 based on the statewide vote.
Nebraska-- a caucus that awards 16 delegates based on the contest, all allocated to the three CD's 6 each in NE-01 & NE-02, and 4 in NE-03.
Virgin Islands-- they've 9 delegates, with 3 being selected.
Washington-- a caucus that awards 78 delegates based on the results, with 51 chosen at the CD level and 27 at the state level.
Maine-- a caucus with 24 delegates based on the results, 16 according to the CD's and 8 according to statewide.
DC-- 15 awarded based on the results, 10 by the wards and 5 by the district total.
Maryland-- 70 delegates up for grabs, 46 by the CD's and 24 by statewide.
Virginia-- 83 delegates awarded based on the result, 54 by the CD's and 29 by statewide.
So in total, over the next week, we'll see another 345 delegates selected. When the Feb 5th totals are all finished, it looks like Clinton will hold a lead (including super-delegates) by about 80 delegates.
Obama won't be able to overtake that lead with just these states, but he's gotta be favored in taking most (if not all) of these states, right?
It's gonna get even closer.