Dems in Top Six Senate Races Outraise GOPers in Q4

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As of the end of the year, the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee had about $16 million more in the bank than the National Republican Senatorial Committee, when debts and obligations are taken into account. While this might not be sufficient to ensure that the Democrats pick up seats in 2008, even in combination with the general sentiments in the country favoring the party, the fact that the Democratic candidates in the top-6 most competitive races are outraising their GOP opponents.

Democratic Senate candidates continued to trump their Republican counterparts in many key races around the country in the fourth quarter.

Financial reports show Democrats topped Republicans by hundreds of thousands of dollars in races in Colorado, Louisiana, Minnesota, New Hampshire, New Mexico, Virginia.

GOP incumbents held fast to money edges in other top races in Kentucky, Maine, North Carolina, Oregon and Texas.

Take a look through the numbers:

  • Virginia: Democrat Mark Warner raised $2.9 million to Republican Jim Gilmore's mere $350,000.
  • New Mexico: Democrat Tom Udall (with help from the netroots) brought in $1 million -- more than both of his two Republican competitors combined, with Heather Wilson taking $520,000 and Steve Pearce bringing in $430,000.
  • Colorado: Mark Udall, the presumptive Democratic nominee and cousin of Tom, nearly doubled the fundraising of his GOP competitor Bob Schaffer, $1.1 million to $670,000.
  • New Hampshire: In the rematch race between freshman Republican John Sununu and Democrat Jeanne Shaheen, the latter outraised the former $1.2 million to $920,000.
  • Minnesota: Democrat Al Franken's nearly $2 million haul bested that of incumbent Republican Senator Norm Coleman's $1.7 million.
  • Louisiana: Democratic incumbent Mary Landrieu, the only Democratic incumbent theoretically vulnerable this cycle, doubled the fundraising effort of her GOP challenger John Kennedy, $1 million to $500,000. This is a particular embarrassment for the Republicans given that Kennedy is supposed to be their top challenger and is the focus of the party's efforts at putting the Democrats on defense in at least one Senate race.

We're not there yet. But it's sure looking like the Democrats have a very good shot at 56 seats -- or more (don't forget Mississippi, where former Democratic Governor Ronnie Musgrove has a great shot at winning in either a special election or general election this year) -- by the end of this cycle.

Tags: CO-Sen, Fundraising, LA-Sen, MN-Sen, NH-Sen, NM-Sen, Senate 2008, VA-Sen (all tags)



Re: Dems in Top Six Senate Races Outraise GOPers i

     I like how it has now become conventional wisdom that Kentucky, North Carolina, and Texas have become "top races."  That's a considerable victory.  Webb's and Tester's victories really shocked the DC establishment.  Two years ago we would have been scoffed at for thinking we could win in conservative states.  But candidates like Horne, Hagan, and Noriega need our money.  They need it more than Barack or Hillary.

by cilerder86 2008-02-04 08:25AM | 0 recs
think of Barack Obama as a gateway drug

All those first time contributors that want change can be asked to change Congress.

How many people have contributed to Obama's campaign?

by Carl Nyberg 2008-02-04 08:45AM | 0 recs
Re: Dems in Top Six Senate Races Outraise GOPers i

All this talk about taking back the Congress in spades is all for nought if McCain wins the presidency. And a Hillary nomination is most likely to guarantee that.

This poll news from an MSNBC article is even more devastating to the Hillary campaign. Do we want another Republican in the Whitehouse?

* Just asking: Is it a coincidence that as Clinton is no longer leading in general election match-ups against McCain, her lead over Obama in national polls has narrowed? Or is it the other way around? Yesterday's Washington Post/ABC poll had McCain beating Clinton, 49%-46%, yet Obama beating McCain, 49%-46%. And according to a new Cook Political Report/RT Strategies poll, McCain leads Clinton, 45%-41%, while Obama beats McCain 45%-43%.

by shergald 2008-02-04 10:05AM | 0 recs
it's the day before Super Tuesday

So, people want to talk presidential politics, but the story of 2008 will be told by the gains in Congress.

I think 30-60 House seats is possible. And winning 60 Senate seats is also possible.

With strong performances in state legislative races to allow Dems to control re-districting before the 2012 elections, the Republicans are looking at being frozen out of power for a long time.

by Carl Nyberg 2008-02-04 08:43AM | 0 recs
Re: it's the day before Super Tuesday

"With strong performances in state legislative races to allow Dems to control re-districting before the 2012 elections, the Republicans are looking at being frozen out of power for a long time."

If the Democrats go into the next round of redistricting with the intention of screwing the Republicans as badly as they screwed us - assuming the Dems have unchecked power to draw the maps - we're no better than they are.

Gerrymandering is antithetical to American democracy, no matter which side does it.  I'd like nothing more than to sweep the GOP off the map, but I want it to happen because we have better candidates and better ideas, not because we drew the districts to preserve what may be a temporary advantage.

by KTinOhio 2008-02-04 09:41AM | 0 recs
Re: it's the day before Super Tuesday
     Not only is in antithetical to American democracy, it doesn't even work very well!
     That's because the typical gerrymander attempts to create seats that are about 53-55% in favor of the party drawing the map, taking areas from districts currently held by the party drawing the map and adding them to marginal districts that previously elected the other party. But when a national shift of 3 or 5 points comes along (which is what we saw in 2006 and will likely see again in 2008), it blows down all the houses. It happened to the Republicans in PA, FL, and Texas in 2006, and could happen in MI and FL this year.
     But what's the alternative to gerrymanders? For most politicians drawing the lines in the legislatures, it's certainly not compact districts drawn by a non-partisan commission. It's "incumbent protection" maps, where the hacks from both parties draw the lines, like the Hastert-Lipinski map in Illinois, and the current map in California which has about 3 competitive districts out of 53. In such redistricting, if a state loses seats, the hacks will usually target the most independent members of the delegation for elimination.
     Given that choice, gerrymanders may be the preferable alternative, if we can avoid getting too greedy.
by Ron Thompson 2008-02-04 10:59AM | 0 recs
I'll Bet Any Amount You'd Care To Wager
There there will NEVER be another veto-proof DEMOCRAT (67 Senators) Congress.
Even if there are 56 Dem Senators, there will be the Bluedogs: Evan Bayh, Tom Carper, Bob Casey, Kent Conrad, Dianne Feinstein, Daniel Inouye, Amy Klobuchar, Mary Landrieu, Blanche Lincoln, Claire McCaskill, Barbara Mikulski, Bill Nelson, Ben Nelson, Mark Pryor (Resigning?), Ken Salazar & Jim Webb.
That's 16. Subtracted from 56, there's not even enough power there to effectively threaten to filibuster.
Fuck change. It's just a bright, shiny thing hung in front of the crib to beguile the childish and the naive...
by tokin librul 2008-02-04 10:15AM | 0 recs


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