Rasmussen: Clinton Lead in Ohio Evaporates
by Jonathan Singer, Fri Feb 29, 2008 at 09:25:57 AM EST
The Clinton campaign's March 4th firewall strategy entails winning both Texas and Ohio. We've already seen the first half of that strategy go by the wayside, with Hillary Clinton now trailing Barack Obama in the Lone Star state. Is the second half of the strategy in jeopardy, too? Taking a look at the latest Rasmussen Reports poll from the Buckeye state, it sure looks like it. Here's that Rasmussen poll, along with the latest Fox News poll (.pdf) from the state, as well as the Pollster.com and Real Clear Politics poll of polls (neither of which contains these new surveys):
As you can see, not every poll puts this race within a couple points like Rasmussen -- though for reference, a Zogby poll from Ohio did also show Clinton up by just two points today (but then again, that's Zogby...). Indeed, it seems that Clinton still might hold a 5 or 7 point lead in Ohio four days out from election day. That said, a candidate never wants to see a shrinking lead at this point in an election cycle -- particularly one that approaches just 2 points in two separate polls -- so I wouldn't necessarily be putting money on Clinton in Ohio just now (even as I would refrain from putting money on Obama there, too, but maybe that's because I don't bet on elections...).