CBS: Obama Has Delegate Lead, Even Considering Superdelegates
by Jonathan Singer, Mon Feb 11, 2008 at 03:24:04 AM EST
Barack Obama 1,134 delegates
Hillary Clinton: 1,131 delegates
2,025 delegates are required to clinch the nomination
Barack Obama was presumed to be able to take an overall delegate lead after Tuesday night after the votes had been counted in Virginia, Maryland and here in the District of Columbia, each of which he appears to lead in (see: Pollster.com). But now, at least according to CBS News' tabulations, Obama has already overcome Hillary Clinton's 74-delegate lead among superdelegates (among CBS News) to take an overall lead -- albeit a very narrow one -- in the race for the Democratic nomination. This means that if the polling is correct and Obama is on the inside track in tomorrow's contests (perhaps a big if, in light of problems with earlier polling this cycle, but perhaps not), he should be able to pick up a decent share of the 168 pledged delegates at stake, and thus pad his lead instead of merely going over the top of Clinton for the first time.
Just to add... It's worth noting that not every news organization has the same tally as CBS News. Our tally, down on the bottom right, still seems to have Clinton up, and on MSNBC this morning Chuck Todd alluded to a Clinton lead that may be below 20 delegates when superdelegates are factored in (paraphrasing).Update [2008-2-11 8:42:51 by Jerome Armstrong]: MyDD uses the counts done by both the 2008 Democratic Convention Watch for its superdelegate count, and TheGreenPapers for the delegate count, both of which have more credibility [documentation + transparency] than CBS does. Currently they show Clinton leading by 43 or 169 delegates, depending on whether you count Florida and Michigan (I do).