Signs Of Record Democratic Primary Turnout in California

Some good news coming out of California on the voter registration front that bodes well for Democratic turnout on Tuesday.

From a California Democratic Party press release:

In the final 45 days (60 days pre-election, December 7, 2008 to the January 22, 2008 15-day cut-off) prior to Election Day, the Secretary of State's report of registration shows Democrats added 150,633 voters to bring its total to 6,749,406 or 43.0 percent of registered voters statewide.

Altogether, 244,202 voters were added to the voter rolls in this period, and the Democrats' total of 150,6377 registered is 61.7% of the total - a record for California.

In comparison, in the final 45 days of the 2004 presidential primary, Democrats added only 68,007 voters, just 46.5% of the increase of 146,129.

That is really amazing. In 2004 when Democrats could not have been more motivated to defeat George W. Bush, Democratic registration was still under 50% of new registrations. It's clear that now, not only are people excited to cast the vote for the Democrat who will succeed Bush, but they're ridiculously pumped about the Democratic candidates (and really not so much about the Republicans.) This bodes well not only for Tuesday but for November as well.

The news is bittersweet, however, for while the press release touts that 43% of California voters are now Democrats, what it manages to leave out is that it is still slightly down from 2004 and well down from 1992 when Democrats made up 48.5% of registered voters (see CA SOS website HERE.) In addition, this is the third straight presidential cycle during which the percentage of the population that is registered to vote has dropped. This may speak more to the growth of the state than the apathy of its populace but I do think it shows the state parties could be doing a far better job with voter outreach.

Another factor that portends a higher than normal Democratic turnout is that the fastest growing voter bloc in California, the Decline To State voters, who have risen to 19.3% of registered voters in the state (up an impressive 3.1% from 2004) are able to vote in the Democratic primary and not the Republican primary. As I wrote HERE, there's a question as to whether these voters actually know this or not. The key: they must REQUEST a Democratic ballot. Go to Courage Campaign's FAQ page for more.

For more coverage of the California primary, be sure to head over to calitics.

Tags: 2008 Presidential election, California primary (all tags)

Comments

12 Comments

Would you please?

Totally irrelevant to this post but would you PLEASE fix the link on Jonathan's report on Denver Post's endorsement of Hillary at "Breaking Blue"? The link gives you a weird picture of Bush rather than the article about the endorsement. I hope it was just a honest mistake.

by praxis1 2008-02-01 04:51PM | 0 recs
Re: Signs Of Record Democratic Primary Turnout in

The LA Times made a truly odious endorsement of Obama today.

This is TOKENISM at its worst.

It's also reductive thinking: elect a black man and people with brown skin will like us better. Give me a break. Bhutto was killed by terrorists, yet she was Muslim too.

"An Obama presidency would present, as a distinctly American face, a man of African descent, born in the nation's youngest state, with a childhood spent partly in Asia, among Muslims. No public relations campaign could do more than Obama's mere presence in the White House to defuse anti-American passion around the world, nor could any political experience surpass Obama's life story in preparing a president to understand the American character."

by JFK464 2008-02-01 04:59PM | 0 recs
Re: Signs Of Record Democratic Primary Turnout in

This was almost exactly Kerry's rationale for his endorsement of Obama, as he explained it on one of the Sunday talk shows the week of his endorsement.

by ocli 2008-02-01 06:33PM | 0 recs
Re: Signs Of Record Democratic Primary Turnout in

LATimes is playing the race card in this endorsement JFK. Unbelievable. But they won't be called on it because ....

by India 2008-02-02 05:46AM | 0 recs
Re: Signs Of Record Democratic Primary Turnout in

I've posted this before, but it may be useful to point it out again:

If you are DTS (Decline to State) and a permanent absentee voter, you needed to request a Democratic ballot quite some time ago (at least in my county).  You may be able to exchange it at the registrar of voters (same as if you spoil your ballot), but not many will go to the trouble.

by tilthouse 2008-02-01 05:42PM | 0 recs
Re: Signs Of Record Democratic Primary Turnout in

Another "endorsement" for Obama

(cut and paste)
Grateful Dead Members to Reunite for Barack Obama

(San Francisco) Members of the Grateful Dead will host a get out the vote concert in support of Democratic Presidential candidate Barack Obama on Monday, February 4th at The Warfield Theatre in San Francisco. Mickey Hart, Phil Lesh, and Bob Weir, joined by Jackie Greene, John Molo, and Steve Molitz, will play a show together in support of Barack Obama. The video website Iclips will be producing a live simulcast streamed via the Internet on www.iclips.net at approximately 7:30pm PST.  

This will mark the first time that the members of the legendary band have performed together since 2004. They have agreed to reunite for this one-time-only event in order to lend support to Senator Obama leading into the crucial "Super- Tuesday" series of primaries held on Tuesday, February 5th.

by JohnQPublic 2008-02-01 06:02PM | 0 recs
Re: Signs Of Record Democratic Primary Turnout in

Leads one to ask whether the upsurge in voter registration is strongly represented by youth or younger people. If it is the Obama phenomenon creating the interest, one might predict this to be the case.

by shergald 2008-02-02 03:39AM | 0 recs
Re: Signs Of Record Democratic Primary Turnout in

If Fleetwood Mac would do a concert for Hillary it would be panned as too old or some such stuff; but the Grateful Dead is lauded because it's for BO.

by India 2008-02-02 05:52AM | 0 recs
Re: Signs Of Record Democratic Primary Turnout in

The registration figures are skewed. You can't really compare crrent registration percentages to past ones. For decades, the roles weren't cleaned. California voter data files were just plain garbage through 2000. I know; I did multiple campaigns that tried to chase down these people.

It is true that DTS has risen and party affiliation has gone down, but also literally 100s of thousands of dead records have been purged since 2000.

by janinsanfran 2008-02-01 06:36PM | 0 recs
Re: Signs Of Record Democratic

I'm from Cal and have already voted.

by reasonwarrior 2008-02-01 06:43PM | 0 recs
Democratic primaries should be for Democrats

 Non Democrats should not decide how this party goes forward.  You want more registered Democrats....make them register in the Democratic party in order to choose the Democratic nominee.

by debcoop 2008-02-01 06:56PM | 0 recs
at this point I'll be more surprised

if there are any states that do not have record-breaking turnout on the Democratic side.

by desmoinesdem 2008-02-02 04:58AM | 0 recs

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