HI-Sen: Inouye Not Particularly Vulnerable
by Jonathan Singer, Thu Dec 18, 2008 at 02:08:08 PM EST
On November 4, Hawaii gave it's native son Barack Obama a greater share of the vote -- 72 percent -- than any other state in the nation. Perhaps it should come as no surprise, then, that Dan Inouye, who has represented Hawaii in the House or the Senate for the entirety of its time as a state, is looking fairly strong in his 2010 reelection bid, even against popular Republican Governor Linda Lingle.
Research 2000 for Daily Kos. 12/15-17. Likely voters. MoE 4% (No trend lines)
Dan Inouye (D): 53 percent
Linda Lingle (R): 42 percent
Hawaiians give Lingle fairly good marks, with 53 percent of voters rating her favorably and 42 percent rating her unfavorably. But that isn't enough to enable her to knock off Inouye, whose lowest reelection showing was 57.3 percent in 1992, and who other than that has never received less than 69 percent of the vote in a Senate election. Inouye's strength, then, isn't too much of a surprise -- though the fact that Lingle isn't polling within 10 points of Inouye is at least slightly unexpected.