GA-Sen: Time To Get Your Run-Off On
by Todd Beeton, Thu Nov 13, 2008 at 02:35:13 PM EST
As we've noted before, even before the official certification of results, the run-off between Chambliss and Martin has been engaged for days with both candidates exploiting their respective party's presidential candidates in their own way.
Martin released an ad casting himself as Obama's partner in change and uses Obama's name no fewer than three times in his fundraising ask on his website:
Now we're headed to a runoff, and we need you to redouble your efforts if we're going to win on December 2nd, because this race is going to be about helping President-elect Barack Obama get our economy back on track and making the economy work for the middle class again.
America has elected Barack Obama President, and now is the time for us to help him succeed. Saxby Chambliss has promised to do everything he can to stop Barack Obama from succeeding. We face the biggest challenges of the past 60 years - let's work together to solve them. In the Senate I'll do what's best for Georgia, what's best for this country, and what's best for the middle class who've been ignored the past eight years.
Notice that Martin is also echoing Obama's winning economic message of rebuilding the middle class, which is a funny sort of contrast with McCain's rhetoric during his appearance on behalf of Chambliss today, in which he rehashed his own failed economic message about cutting spending.
Republican John McCain implored Georgia voters Thursday to back Sen. Saxby Chambliss in next month's runoff, warning that Democrats will increase taxes and cut defense spending and the GOP needs to strengthen its ranks.
"I didn't think I'd be back on the campaign trail quite this early," McCain told some 1,500 people in his first political appearance since losing the presidency to Barack Obama last week. "But there is a lot at stake here. ... I'm asking you to go into battle one more time." [...]
His voice rising, McCain told the crowd that Chambliss, a first-term senator, "is doing what we Republicans should have done for eight years and that's restrain spending." And in a commentary on his Election Day loss, the Arizona senator added, "We let spending get out of control and it cost us a lot of our conservative base."
But the fact is that McCain did win Georgia, so perhaps the fact that his economic message fell flat nationally is irrelevant. What is likely to be most relevant in this run-off is organization and turnout. As Sean Quinn explains over at 538.com, run-offs and special elections inevitably have lower turnout than the general election main event does and so the big question is:
...will more Chambliss voters drop off or will more Martin voters drop off? That's the unknown. In wave years I'd tend to bet with the wave party, but I'm nowhere near ready to conclude Martin will win.
Help Jim Martin out at our Road To 60 ActBlue page. Still need 28 donors to reach our end of week goal of 60 donors for the guy who just might be our 60th vote.