Tracking Poll Update: Obama Maintains His 8-Point Lead
by Jonathan Singer, Sun Oct 05, 2008 at 09:15:36 AM EDT
Here are today's numbers:
Today's four poll average comes out exactly the same as yesterday's, with Barack Obama holding an 8.25 percentage point lead nationwide against John McCain. With two-thirds of interviews coming after the Vice Presidential debate, we may be able to say that Sarah Palin's performance helped stop the bleeding for the Republicans, but it certainly does not appear to be the case that she was able to win any significant number of new voters over to McCain's side, let alone regain the momentum for the GOP ticket.
This may be the bottom of the dip for McCain, so do not be surprised to see some tightening in the coming four weeks (and certainly do not assume that such movement is necessarily an indication of anything other than natural tightening as voters tune in ahead of election day). That said, this isn't a bad place for Obama to be sitting 29 days away from November 4.