Obama Campaign Moving into Arizona
by Jonathan Singer, Thu Oct 30, 2008 at 02:00:43 PM EDT
We don't yet know the extent of the move, but it is coming. First, here's Marc Ambinder passing on the call to action from an email from the Obama campaign noting the tightening polls in Arizona:
Arizona is [John McCain's] home state. He should have a comfortable lead with voters who've known him for nearly three decades. That says all you need to know about the strength of Barack's message and the grassroots movement we've built.
With Election Day just 5 days away, this surge of support for Barack couldn't come at a better time. But we have to act immediately to take advantage.
That's not all. Here's Newsweek's Richard Wolffe:
The campaign is now seriously examining a late surge into the state. That may include ramping up TV advertising, on-the-ground staff or even deploying the candidate to stop there. Obama is scheduled to make a Western swing late this week, making an Arizona visit possible.
This is now the fifth straight day bringing news of a tightening race in John McCain's home state of Arizona, and the announcement that the Obama campaign would indeed focus on Arizona -- albeit only for the last week of the election -- comes on the same day as two more nonpartisan polls reported a single-digit spread between McCain and Barack Obama in the state. Throwing into the mix Mason-Dixon polling showing McCain up 48 percent to 44 percent in the state and CNN/Time polling (.pdf) pegging McCain's lead at 53 percent to 46 percent, the Real Clear Politics average out of Arizona shows McCain under 50 percent and leading by just 5.2 percentage points -- not a great position for a politician who has spent a career representing the state.
Whether or not the Obama campaign does choose to go on-air during this last stretch of the election, we do know that at least one progressive group -- MoveOn -- has bought ad time in the state. Here's their spot:
I'd still like to see the Obama campaign go ahead and go up on the air in the state as well, even with a modest ad buy. But with the campaign asking for volunteers for the state, indicating that it is at least somewhat serious about putting the state on the map, and now MoveOn sending the message out on television, there is a shot -- a shot -- that we could see a surprise in the Grand Canyon state come Tuesday.