Todd Palin: Wife's Home State Approval Ratings "Torpedoed"

It's apparently not only the case that Sarah Palin's numbers are tanking nationwide. According to Palin's own husband, her numbers have been falling precipitously in Alaska as well.

Consider something else when judging whether she's a good team player: Todd told me that the presidential campaign has torpedoed Palin's once stratospheric approval rating in Alaska. It's down 20 points since she's assumed the partisan pit bull role.

It's not necessarily the case that Palin's numbers are bad, per se, because they're not. They are, in fact, fairly good. According to Research 2000 polling commissioned by Daily Kos about two weeks ago, Palin's home state approval rating stood at 60 percent, with 35 percent disapproving, and 63 percent of likely voters viewed the Governor favorably, compared with 43 34 percent viewing her unfavorably.

Yet as Todd Palin noted, these numbers represented at least a drop of 20 points for Palin. What's more, even more recent polling indicates that the McCain-Palin ticket leads the Obama-Biden ticket in Alaska by an unremarkably 53 percent to 42 percent margin -- significantly narrower than the 61 percent to 36 percent margin by which George W. Bush defeated John Kerry in the state in 2004. Throw on top of this the fact that nationwide more voters view Palin unfavorably than view her favorably, as well as new polling showing her trailing both Mitt Romney and Mike Huckabee in a hypothetical 2012 Republican primary (in the event of a John McCain loss in a week), and you can see that the luster has come off Palin, to put it lightly.

Tags: Sarah Palin, White House 2008, White House 2012 (all tags)





Palin's home state approval rating stood at 60 percent, with 35 percent disapproving, and 63 percent of likely voters viewed the Governor favorably, compared with 43 percent viewing her unfavorably.

Isnt 63 + 43 = 103%.  Is there a misprint here?


by giusd 2008-10-28 04:29PM | 0 recs
Re: Todd Palin: Wife's Home State Approval Ratings

Scarah doesn't need to worry, after she's run out of office in Alaska she can get a job at Fox news.

But she's gotta get in line behind Barbara West and Michelle Bachman.

by wblynch 2008-10-28 04:51PM | 0 recs
Re: Todd Palin: Wife's Home State Approval Ratings

If she doesn't feeling like working at Fox, she can just hire Tina Fey to stand in for her. They'll never know.

by antiHyde 2008-10-28 05:46PM | 0 recs
One chance

I have always said this is Palin's only chance.  If, and this race is far from over, McCain does not win, I don't think the Republican faithful will try her out again.

by Classical Liberal 2008-10-28 06:57PM | 0 recs
Why not?

Palin is much better at tapping into irrational rage than Huckabee.

Huckabee seems like a genuinely decent guy. Remember how he spoke about immigrants? Remember how he counseled against attaching import to Rev. Jeremiah Wright's sermons?

Can you picture Palin reigning-in the base? If those people are really mad, they'll probably pick Palin over Huckabee.

by Carl Nyberg 2008-10-28 07:19PM | 0 recs
being a crappy candidate has consequences?


Who'd of thought?

To counter Todd Palin's analysis, I strongly suspect Sarah Palin's approval was on track to sink some of those 20 points anyway.

The trooper-gate investigation was unfolding and was going to hurt Palin.

A base of the GOP already didn't like Palin.

If Palin wasn't the VP nominee, I suspect she'd be more popular with AK Dems and there are Republicans who like her as McCain's VP but wouldn't have liked her if she hadn't been the nominee.

by Carl Nyberg 2008-10-28 07:16PM | 0 recs
Re: being a crappy candidate has consequences?

Carl, I think that a lot of this is because the unfolding investigations on a national platform are hurting her more.  I suspect that the majority of Alaskans really were not paying attention until these investigations ended up on the national news for multiple nights running.  That's embarrassing.

I'm beginning to suspect that she may be a one term governor who gets primaried out in two years, now that the typical Alaskan voter has been browbeaten with all some of her transgressions.  

Couple this with Stephens' conviction and the public is going to want a clean candidate, Sarah doesn't cut it anymore, way too much baggage now.  

Of course if Stephens' wins re-election then the opposite may be true....

by NvDem 2008-10-28 08:25PM | 0 recs
not ready for prime time

Todd, you're supposed to say "I never look at the polls."  See Michelle's Tonight Show appearance for example.

by John DE 2008-10-28 07:22PM | 0 recs
Todd: Wife &quot;Torpedoed&quot;

Palin is a candle burning at both ends and the middle...or is that a fuse?  Anyhow, she just cannot last at this level of "frothiness".  She will gaffe too many times, say something REALLY bad, or else get herself indicted.  And already the "true" members of the Repub party have started to slip the knives into her back with the "Diva" and "whack-job" well as the "staff" issues she and John Boy have.  Nope, this match made in hell just ain't gonna fly.

And after Nov. 4th, when the world stops celebrating rationality coming back to the USA with Pres. Elect Obama, Palin is going to have to go back to small, cold Alaska and explain herself.  Nothing pisses off a rural conservative than one of their own (or one they think of as one of their own) going off and getting a BIG head.  (And to be honest, I think she LOVES that white hot spotlight.  She will miss it up in Alaska, especially over the Winter Solstice.)

I honestly do not see the Repubs giving her a CHANCE at any more than a re-election for Gov.  Maybe.  Senate?  Hell no.  Noone in DC even wants to deal with her.  By 2012 she will not be the same candidate and will probably run only to end up having a make-or-break one time only stand at the polls, ala Guilliani.  Some will lament her loss like they lament Elvis being gone, but she will drift away...hopefully into a snowdrift.

(The fact that between her and Bachmann, MN has become the butt of jokes again...grrr.)

by Hammer1001 2008-10-28 07:51PM | 0 recs


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