More Indications of McCain's Weakness in Arizona
by Jonathan Singer, Mon Oct 27, 2008 at 10:56:11 AM EDT
I noted yesterday the Democratic polling showing that Barack Obama is nipping at John McCain's heels in his home state of Arizona, and some may have seen that NBC News has moved Arizona from the "likely Republican" category to the more competitive "leans Republican" category. This morning we received further indication of the closeness of the race in Arizona in the form of nonpartisan polling from Rasmussen Reports.
John McCain's lead over Barack Obama is down to just five points in his home state of Arizona. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state finds the Senator leading 51% to 46%.
I'll reiterate what I wrote last night: I don't think that it's necessarily prudent for the Obama campaign to shift serious resources into Arizona this late in the game. But when it comes to making the argument about mandates post-election, winning not only in red states but in a red state that is home to the Republican nominee -- or even keeping it much closer than the 11-point spread in the state between George W. Bush and John Kerry in 2004 -- would send a strong signal that the nation, the whole nation, is itching for change.