Tracking Poll Update: Obama's Lead Inches Up to 8 Points

Here are today's numbers:

Gallup (Trad)5045
Gallup (Exp)5144
Rasmussen Reports5245
Research 2000/dKos5240

Yesterday's daily tracking poll from ABC News and The Washington Post (.pdf) looked substantially similar to the four-poll average above, with Barack Obama leading John McCain by a 54 percent to 43 percent margin. The latest CBS News/New York Times survey, which also went up yesterday, gave Obama a 52 percent to 39 percent margin. The Battleground tracker sees the race differently, giving Obama just a 49 percent to 46 percent lead.

For those still feeling a little edgy about the polling, remember that perhaps as many as one in sixnine of those voting this year have already turned in their ballots, and, at least according to the numbers crunchers at the Obama campaign, these voters overwhelmingly tend to be Democrats. In other words, quite a few votes will likely have been banked by election day.

We are 11 days out from election day. What are you doing to help enact progressive change in this country?

Tags: Tracking Poll Update, White House 2008 (all tags)




At least no Drudge siren yet, as Obama went back to +4 (rounded).

Battleground has a tighter LV screen (Jerome's favorite poll!).

So many Yes on 8 signs around where I work, including sign twirlers at Palomar Airport and El Camino in Carlsbad.  So let's do something about that.

by esconded 2008-10-24 12:29PM | 0 recs

Lot's of Yes on 8 signs in the Sacramento area too, which is perplexing.

by fogiv 2008-10-24 02:12PM | 0 recs
Progressive change? WTF?

I like to see Republicans lose as much as any other progressive, but, for crissakes don't be deluded into thinking there's going to be any progressive change with Obama.

Increasing military spending?  That's not progressive.

Merit pay for teachers?  What?

A muscular foreign policy?  Nope.

Sucking up to an aggressive Israel that is punishing the Palestinian people?  Not progress there.

Signing off on the outrageous Wall Street bail out?   Not.

and on and on...

by neaguy 2008-10-24 01:57PM | 0 recs
Re: Progressive change? WTF?

"I like to see Republicans lose as much as any other progressive, but, for crissakes don't be deluded into thinking there's going to be any progressive change with Obama."

You're saying that an Obama administration will be no more progressive/less conservative than the Bush administration?  Here, have a troll donut.

by the mystical vortexes of sedona 2008-10-24 02:39PM | 0 recs
Re: Progressive change? WTF?

Just another bitter boy...

Chewing on their predictions that Obama was "unelectable...that FL and MI would punish the democrats for disenfranchisment..."

It sucks to be them.

by WashStateBlue 2008-10-24 02:48PM | 0 recs
Re: Progressive change? WTF?

Yeah, we haven't heard much of the once-fashionable 'electability' argument lately, have we?  And of course the narrative that 'any' Democrat would have achieved this apparently momentous victory has emerged among the doubters and cognitively dissonant.  But one expects that tendentious argument will also be quickly blown away by the fierce winds of change that are now stirring.

by Shaun Appleby 2008-10-24 03:23PM | 0 recs
Re: Progressive change? WTF?

and he wants to take r gunz and heez a mooslim!!!

Go back to redeem your McCain trolling points

by nintendofanboy 2008-10-24 06:36PM | 0 recs
Re: Tracking Poll Update:

this line being repeated about "of the people voting they have been overwhelmingly democratic" is baloney

gallup has a poll on this that shows they are about even.

whats the point of even making an assertion like this? it can hardly be proved

by obama4presidente 2008-10-24 02:40PM | 0 recs
Re: Tracking Poll Update:

those reporting on early voting are referring to the number of democratic vs. republican ballots requested.  Obviously this doesn't mean every dem or repub voted for their party, but it does give a good idea where we are at.  But if you would prefer to rely on a national poll rather than state specific votes of people who say they have voted early be my guest

by Xris 2008-10-24 03:31PM | 0 recs
Re: Tracking Poll Update:

Point taken and thanks for clarifying but no. I just don't care either way. Whats the point?

by obama4presidente 2008-10-24 07:14PM | 0 recs


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