MN-Sen: Did Michele Bachmann Doom Norm Coleman?

There is an indication that the fallout from Michele Bachmann's Hardball flameout has not ended and in fact could bleed into other races throughout Minnesota. Politico's Shenanigans links to this Bloomberg News article that talks of a potential Bachmann "domino effect":

While Bachmann, 52, has said she'd like to "take back" her comments, aftershocks are shaking up races outside her district, northwest of Minneapolis. Republican nominee John McCain trails Obama in Minnesota polls, and incumbent Republican Senator Norm Coleman is locked in a tough re-election fight.

Bachmann's "self-inflicted" damage may drag down Republicans all over the ballot, University of Minnesota professor Lawrence Jacobs said. "It will not take much of a dip in turnout to have a cataclysmic effect on the races in Minnesota," said Jacobs, director of the Center for the Study of Politics and Governance.

As for how it may impact Coleman specifically:

The flap over Bachmann's remarks lengthens odds that McCain can overtake Obama, and hurts Coleman in a neck-and-neck race. "Coleman is going to need every living, breathing Republican to turn out and vote, and Michele Bachmann's comment is kind of piling on in a bad year," Jacobs said.

Goal Thermometer

And Coleman seems to know this. On Sunday, on the same local morning TV news show during which Bachmann reiterated her comments about Barack Obama, Coleman tried to distance himself from them.

Coleman rejected Bachmann's view on Obama's anti-Americanism and said, "I would not label his views as anti-American."

But distancing himself from her isn't so easy after he's been appearing by her side at McCain/Palin events throughout the state.

So is there actual evidence that Bachmann's remarks are accruing to the benefit of Franken? Well, the two polls released since last Friday have Franken up by 4 & 6 points respectively, both of which have Franken slightly over-performing the Pollster trend estimate. But at the same time, Rasmussen, which has Franken up by 4, had him up by 6 just 2 weeks ago while Coleman's and Barkley's support has remained static. In other words, it's unclear as of yet. And luckily for Coleman, Minnesota doesn't have open early voting (to vote prior to Nov. 4th, you must give a reason.) So, if Franken is smart, he will make sure Minnesota voters, when they walk into those voting booths in 11 days, don't forget how tight Coleman and Bachmann have been.

Help Al out in his final push over at our Road To 60 ActBlue page. You guys blasted through my previous goal in less than a day, so let's now shoot for 120 donors for Al to make sure Norm Coleman pays for Michele Bachman's neo-McCarthyist rantings.

Tags: Al Franken, Michele Bachmann, MN-Sen, norm coleman (all tags)

Comments

7 Comments

Norm is looking nervous.

Karma's a "you know what", ain't it Norm?

You let the vermin in, and eventually you can't distance yourself from em...

by WashStateBlue 2008-10-24 10:59AM | 0 recs
Norm doomed Norm, not Michelle

Launching the most petty negative campaign he possibly could while being a demonstrable Bush sycophant and getting caught getting sketchy free clothes from Neiman Marcus (a week before Palin was discovered to be doing the same thing) while having the most incompetant press flack on the face of the earth (sorry Cullen, it's true) is what doomed Norm Coleman.

Michelle Bachmann sure didn't help him, but Coleman dug his own grave here.

by Dracomicron 2008-10-24 11:11AM | 0 recs
Re: MN-Sen: Did Michele Bachmann

"Don't think of an elephant" comes home to roost.

Democrats are unshakingly on message, and Norm is forced to activate the "I don't think he's un- American" frame.

Sucks to be them.  Great to be us.

by lojasmo 2008-10-24 11:27AM | 0 recs
Bill Clinton

just shot out a fundraising email for Al Franken FYI

by sepulvedaj3 2008-10-24 12:17PM | 0 recs
Doom Norm Coleman?

I could see Bachmann affecting GOTV for Coleman in her district.

But Franken was already doing a great job against Coleman, so I really think it would be a mistake to give Bachmann credit for Franken's rise in the polls.

by Bush Bites 2008-10-24 12:57PM | 0 recs
Doom Norm Coleman?

I wish Obama would shoot an ad for Franken.

by Bush Bites 2008-10-24 12:59PM | 0 recs
I wonder


   what McCain and Palin will say now when asked. Are they sick still? Or will they condemn lying and race baiting?

  As far as Coleman goes, I hope they show his and Bachmann's concession speeches on election night on CNN.

  Would love to see both their faces.

by southernman 2008-10-24 01:05PM | 0 recs

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