MN-Sen: Did Michele Bachmann Doom Norm Coleman?
by Todd Beeton, Fri Oct 24, 2008 at 10:46:23 AM EDT
There is an indication that the fallout from Michele Bachmann's Hardball flameout has not ended and in fact could bleed into other races throughout Minnesota. Politico's Shenanigans links to this Bloomberg News article that talks of a potential Bachmann "domino effect":
While Bachmann, 52, has said she'd like to "take back" her comments, aftershocks are shaking up races outside her district, northwest of Minneapolis. Republican nominee John McCain trails Obama in Minnesota polls, and incumbent Republican Senator Norm Coleman is locked in a tough re-election fight.
Bachmann's "self-inflicted" damage may drag down Republicans all over the ballot, University of Minnesota professor Lawrence Jacobs said. "It will not take much of a dip in turnout to have a cataclysmic effect on the races in Minnesota," said Jacobs, director of the Center for the Study of Politics and Governance.
As for how it may impact Coleman specifically:
The flap over Bachmann's remarks lengthens odds that McCain can overtake Obama, and hurts Coleman in a neck-and-neck race. "Coleman is going to need every living, breathing Republican to turn out and vote, and Michele Bachmann's comment is kind of piling on in a bad year," Jacobs said.
And Coleman seems to know this. On Sunday, on the same local morning TV news show during which Bachmann reiterated her comments about Barack Obama, Coleman tried to distance himself from them.
Coleman rejected Bachmann's view on Obama's anti-Americanism and said, "I would not label his views as anti-American."
But distancing himself from her isn't so easy after he's been appearing by her side at McCain/Palin events throughout the state.
So is there actual evidence that Bachmann's remarks are accruing to the benefit of Franken? Well, the two polls released since last Friday have Franken up by 4 & 6 points respectively, both of which have Franken slightly over-performing the Pollster trend estimate. But at the same time, Rasmussen, which has Franken up by 4, had him up by 6 just 2 weeks ago while Coleman's and Barkley's support has remained static. In other words, it's unclear as of yet. And luckily for Coleman, Minnesota doesn't have open early voting (to vote prior to Nov. 4th, you must give a reason.) So, if Franken is smart, he will make sure Minnesota voters, when they walk into those voting booths in 11 days, don't forget how tight Coleman and Bachmann have been.
Help Al out in his final push over at our Road To 60 ActBlue page. You guys blasted through my previous goal in less than a day, so let's now shoot for 120 donors for Al to make sure Norm Coleman pays for Michele Bachman's neo-McCarthyist rantings.