Tracking Poll Update: Obama Still Leads By About 7 Points
by Jonathan Singer, Thu Oct 23, 2008 at 09:52:16 AM EDT
Here are today's numbers:
Today's Battleground tracker (.pdf) has Barack Obama leading by 4 points among likely voters, 49 percent to 45 percent, while the ABC News/Washington Post tracker (.pdf) shows Obama up 11 points, 54 percent to 43 percent. An Associated Press poll (.pdf), which quizzically predicted about twice the Evangelical turnout as has historically occurred (44 percent vs. 23 percent turnout in 2004), shows Obama up a single point, 44 percent to 43 percent. Fox News (.pdf), on the other hand, finds a 9-point Obama lead, 49 percent to 40 percent.
So as has been the case before, we have seen some divergence in the polls, though with most showing Obama at or around 50 percent and John McCain at or below 45 percent, a situation that continues to have Republicans worried -- particularly considering that the amount of time between now and election day continues to shrink without much of any movement towards the GOP ticket.
We are 12 days out from election day. What are you doing to help enact progressive change in this country?