House Race Update

Charlie Cook and Larry Sabato both have updated House race rankings wherein most races that are showing movement are shifting in the Democrats' direction. Cook's projection has Democrats winning a net of between 23-28 seats and Sabato expects Democrats will win an "astounding 22-27 seats" (up from 15-20 in his previous rankings.)

Some good stuff happening around the country in some key races below:

  • CT-04 In my home district and where my parents still reside, I am thrilled to see Sabato upgrade Jim Himes' challenge to Bush enabler Chris "last Republican left in New England" Shays to "Leans Dem." A friend of mine who lives in the district is feeling the momentum shift in media coverage, number of Himes signs he's seeing and the effectiveness of the ads. Here's Himes's latest, which makes the best case against Shays in this D+5 district:

    Donate to Jim Himes HERE.

  • WA-08 A new Survey USA poll of this race shows Darcy Burner surging to a 4 point lead over Dave Reichert.

    In an election for US House of Representatives from Washington's 8th Congressional District today, thirteen days till votes are counted, momentum, at least in part attributable to a rising Democratic tide nationwide, is now with Democrat Darcy Burner, who see-saws ahead of Republican Dave Reichert, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KING-TV in Seattle. Nominally, it's Burner 50%, Reichert 46% today. Compared to a SurveyUSA poll 6 weeks ago, Reichert is down 8 points, Burner is up 6. The September poll was taken at a time when the national Republican party had just finished a successful convention, and the nomination of Sarah Palin as John McCain's running mate was new and novel. At that time, in Washington state, SurveyUSA showed McCain within 4 points of Barack Obama, statewide, and showed Reichert 10 atop Burner. Today, SurveyUSA shows Obama 16 points atop McCain, a swing of 12 to the Democrats. And, SurveyUSA shows Burner 4 atop Reichert, a swing of 14 to the Democrats.

    No wonder, then, that the right and the local media is throwing the kitchen sink at Darcy (kos has the rundown.) And the NRCC ain't leaving. So kos has launched a fundraising drive to get her to $250,000 HERE. Help her out. And don't forget that this is the last day of the Netroots Nation auction where you can bid on Darcy's autographed t-shirt.

  • AZ-03: Democrat Bob Lord is running an excellent race against Bush rubber stamp John Shadegg. Lord is up 1 in the latest DCCC poll and has just released this ad in the district:

    There's also some really odd stuff happening surrounding Shadegg including his campaign's credit card showing up in Bob Lord's campaign office and Shadegg's campaign sending out an alert to his e-mail list that he has won yet another retraction over what he says is a false claim that he had an affair many years ago; gee, John, I wasn't even thinking about all that stuff about an affair but now I am!

    This is looking better and better for Lord every day. Give to his campaign HERE.

  • CA-46: As I wrote the other day, momentum is really building for Debbie Cook against lazy crazy do-nothing Dana Rohrabacher. They held their first and only debate on Tuesday where Debbie demonstrated clearly why she would be a strong progressive voice in Congress. When asked after the debate why she didn't go after Rohrabacher, she said:

    "It's not my style," she said. "You don't want to make the same mistake that the Republicans have made with McCain in going negative, negative, negative. I think it's quite apparent that he's done nothing for this district in 20 years. And if people don't understand that, me telling them isn't going to change anything."

    "He's an a**," Cook continued. "I can't respond to him. He's a liar."

    HaHa. Awesome. And check out her closing remarks below:

    Donate to Debbie over at Blue America's ActBlue page and your donation will be matched.

    Update [2008-10-23 20:17:49 by Todd Beeton]:Oh, and you gotta see this picture. It really captures the race in a nutshell. Rohrabacher can't believe he {gasp!} has to defend his seat! God forbid.

Plenty more good news where this came from, especially over at Swing State Project. What Republicans do you want desperately to get the boot? Post them in the comments with a link to a donation page of the Democrat.

Tags: 2008 house election, CT-04 (all tags)


1 Comment

Debbie Cook is my Hero

I'm so glad she's finally getting the attention she so richly deserves.  She has fought so hard for local issues and would do the same in Congress.

Thank you!

by Ellinorianne 2008-10-23 05:41PM | 0 recs


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