Tracking Poll Update: Still Not Much Movement
by Jonathan Singer, Mon Oct 13, 2008 at 10:09:18 AM EDT
Here are today's numbers:
Today's Battleground tracker (.pdf) shows Barack Obama leading John McCain by a 51 percent to 43 percent margin, not too far off from the four daily tracking polls above. In other polling released today or over the weekend, a Fox News poll (.pdf) of registered voters gives Obama a 46 percent to 39 percent lead, a Newsweek poll of registered voters puts Obama up 52 percent to 41 percent, and Washington Post-ABC News polling has Obama ahead 53 percent to 43 percent among likely voters.
Again, looking at individual surveys, there are some indications that the race is moving in one direction or another. However, when you throw all the data into one pot and try to digest as much information as possible, it sure looks like there hasn't been much movement in either direction in nearly two and a half weeks, with Obama holding firm at 50.25 percent, give or take a point, and McCain holding steady at 42.25-42.50 percent, give or take a half point. At some point, presumably, McCain will have to start making a move if he wants to get back in this race, no?