Some February 12th Funny Business?

If we essentially have a Republican nominee after Tuesday but we don't yet have a Democratic nominee, there could be some cross-party voting in Virginia's open primary on February 12th.

From Sean Oxendine at conservative blog race42008:

It looks like by the time the first post-Super Tuesday primaries are held here in Virginia, the Republican nomination battle will be more or less wrapped up. Between the Arnold and Rudy endorsements and Huckabee and Romney splitting the conservative vote, I'm just not sure anyone other than McCain will be viable by then.

So what's a Republican to do? Take a page from Kos, of course. You will recall that in the Michigan primary, Kos urged Democrats to vote for Romney, on the theory that he would be the weakest general election candidate.

What could possibly motivate a Republican to vote for a dreaded Clinton?

...while I think they're pretty much equally bad in terms of policies, Clinton would be a bad enough President and candidate that, even if she won, she would spell disaster for downticket Democrats in red areas, giving Republicans another 1994 in 2010 (which is almost as important as 2008, given redistricting).

Ah, yes, right-wing blogs are always good for a good laugh. I mean, leaving aside this whole downticket business, which I actually think is debatable, especially if Obama is VP (I know, I know, they hate each other, blah blah) and McCain is the Republican nominee, that is some seriously wishful thinking about the Republican congressional out look for 2010.

Tags: 2008 Presidential election, Hillary Clinton, Virginia Primary (all tags)



Re: Some February 12th Funny Business?

Well Kos' strategy didn't realy work in MI.  in the GOP primary Dems voted for McCain.

by Ga6thDem 2008-01-31 02:24PM | 0 recs
Re: Some February 12th Funny Business?

Yeah, the cross-party primary voting never really amounts to much.

by johnny longtorso 2008-01-31 02:37PM | 0 recs
Re: Some February 12th Funny Business?

I always liked the theory "they dont like eachother, they'll never be on the same ticket!!"

Yeah...tell that to JFK/LBJ and Kerry/Edwards

by werd2406 2008-01-31 02:43PM | 0 recs
I know, I know FL is meaningless

Except that it isn't.

What Florida turned out be was a poll with a sample of about 3 million in a state where the demographics are close to national ones.

From an information basis Floridians are in exactly the same data environmnt as any state that won't see candidates in person  and whose media markets won't be saturated this weekend. Florida may end up being irrelevant for delegate count but as marker for down ticket impacts it is huge. The fourth largest state spoke, to pretend that all implications of that wash out because of party rules about seating delegates is ridiculous.

What is the MOE of a poll with a sample of 3m? Well zero. If we want to sample probable outcomes in a large diverse state the fact that the candidates didn't campaign is more or less statistically  meaningless.

by Bruce Webb 2008-01-31 02:48PM | 0 recs
Re: Some February 12th Funny Business?

Someone should tell Republicans to be careful what they wish for...  She might just turn out to be great...

Personally, I think she'd do much better than Bill did as president... she won't make the same mistakes...  Although, she has made some seriously bad moves lately...



by lordmikethegreat 2008-01-31 03:33PM | 0 recs


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