Democrats Maintain Significant Generic Presidential Ballot Lead
by Jonathan Singer, Fri Jan 25, 2008 at 10:00:07 AM EST
While numbers on head-to-head match ups between leading Democratic candidates are a bit muddled, with different polls showing varying results, one thing that pollsters seem to be able to agree on is this: The Democrats hold a major lead on the generic presidential ballot question. Take a look at the latest NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll (.pdf):
These numbers are very much in line with those found this month by CBS News and The New York Times, which had the Democrats leading 50 percent to 32 percent, as well as in the Diageo/Hotline poll (.pdf), which had the Democrats leading 48 percent to 33 percent.
Of course -- of course -- the Democrats would rather see their lead in the generic presidential ballot be replicated in actual named head-to-heads between leading Democrats and leading Republicans than not. But as much as these numbers are at least somewhat irrelevant given that we are in a presidential rather than parliamentary system, I'd still prefer sitting on a 15- or 18-point lead in this metric than a 15- or 18-point deficit.