KY-Gov: Fletcher Stuck in the 30s in Yet Another Poll

Kentucky Governor Ernie Fletcher just can't seem to catch a break these days. The Republican is up for reelection this fall and by all estimations seems to be a long shot for winning another term at this point. Yet even in the polling most favorable to him -- polling that showed him within 3 points back in July, when other polling pegged his deficit at between 18 and 23 points -- now shows him down by a double-digit margin. Take a look:

(R)(D)
Fletcher/
Rudolph
Beshear/
Mongiardo
Insider Advantage (.doc)
9/24-25
3545
Bluegrass Poll
9/13-18
3555
Research 2000
9/10-13
3956
SurveyUSA
9/8-10
3958
SurveyUSA
8/4-6
3758
Lane Report
7/25-8/2
3149
SurveyUSA
7/14-16
3659
Insider Advantage
7/8-9
3841
Rasmussen Reports
5/24-25
3551
SurveyUSA
5/23-24
3462
1-Month Average
9/8-25
37.053.5
5-Month Average
5/23-9/25
35.953.4

While it may be fair to say that there is a fair share of voters currently undecided on the Governor's race and that, what's more, other pollsters are underestimating this segment of the electorate, it seems fairly apparent that Insider Advantage is greatly overestimating this segment of the electorate. No other pollster in the last three months, in fact, has found more than 10 percent of the electorate to be undecided. So any worries about Beshear not closing the deal can likely be thrown out. The race might not be over now, but it's about as close as these things come to foregone conclusions.

Tags: Governor 2007, Kentucky, KY-Gov (all tags)

Comments

2 Comments

Re: KY-Gov: Fletcher Stuck in the 30s in Yet

Also look at the trend of insider advantage. Fletcher -3 and Beshear +4, net +7. Good trends, good news.

by KainIIIC 2007-09-29 04:04PM | 0 recs
Re: KY-Gov: Fletcher Stuck in the 30s in Yet Anoth
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by davidmaster77 2007-11-04 08:57PM | 0 recs

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