TX-Sen: Cornyn's Re-Elect At 40%
by Todd Beeton, Thu Sep 27, 2007 at 03:34:28 PM EDT
Kos posted a poll he commissioned Research 2000 to conduct on the Texas Senate race:
Research 2000 for Daily Kos. 9/24-26. Likely voters. MoE 4% (No trend lines)
If the 2008 election for U.S. Senate were held today, would you to reelect John Cornyn, would you consider voting for another candidate, or would you vote to replace Cornyn?
If 2008 election for U.S. Senate were held today, for whom would you vote for if the choices were between Rick Noriega, the Democrat, and John Cornyn, the Republican?
Cornyn (R) 51
Noriega (D) 35
For point of comparison, Cornyn won election in 2002 55%-43%. At this point in time, 35% is Noriega's baseline of support and he has plenty of room to grow as just 60% of Democrats said they support him (23% undecided.) Also, Cornyn's support is soft among Republicans. The 51% he gets in the head to head includes 81% of Republicans, but only 63% of Republicans said they want him to be re-elected. That's a big chunk of Republicans who are movable.