IN-Gov: Mitch "Governor Privatize" Daniels Vulnerable

It doesn't come as a terrible shock. An unpopular Republican Governor who makes unpopular decisions is polling well below 50 percent even in one of the most reliably Republican states in the nation. Such is the situation for former Bushie and current Indiana Governor Mitch Daniels.

[W]hen asked if they would vote to re-elect Daniels if the election were held today, nearly as many said they would vote to replace him (37 percent) as to re-elect him (39 percent). That difference was within the poll's margin of error of 3.5 percentage points. Another 21 percent said they would consider voting for another candidate, while 3 percent were not sure.

[...]

In a hypothetical race between Daniels and [former Democratic Rep. Jill Long] Thompson, the poll found Daniels leading Thompson 46 percent to 38 percent, with 16 percent undecided.

The statewide telephone poll of 800 people who vote regularly in state elections was conducted Sept. 10-14 by Maryland-based Research 2000. It has an overall margin of error of 3.5 percentage points.

Indiana may be a relatively conservative state, but that doesn't necessarily mean that its residents want their leader to be known as "Governor Privatize," a nickname he has earned by showing a stronger allegiance to big corporations than to his constituents. Case in point: the Indiana Toll Road, which Daniels privatized against the loud outcry of Indianans Hoosiers (regardless of the state's conservatism, voters don't like to see state property handed out to well-connected corporations). It's no wonder, then, that the Republicans lost their majority in the state House last fall.

These numbers show that Daniels is very beatable. The Democrats aren't there yet, but Daniels can indeed be beaten. The Cook Political Report (.pdf) and the Rothenberg Political Report give Daniels a slight advantage at this point, and I feel fairly comfortable giving this race a similar rating. So this is definitely a race to watch as this cycle moves on.

Tags: Governor 2008, IN-Gov, Indiana, Mitch Daniels (all tags)

Comments

6 Comments

Indianians?

Jon;

We say "Hoosiers" in Indiana - even I do, and I 1) haven't lived in my home state for almost a quarter century and 2) went to Purdue (the Boilermakers).

Just a note...

by palamedes 2007-09-20 08:19AM | 0 recs
Re: Indianians?

Thanks.

by Jonathan Singer 2007-09-20 08:23AM | 0 recs
What about Bayh?

he could replace his successor...

by Nazgul35 2007-09-20 08:41AM | 0 recs
Re: What about Bayh?

Would have been great, but would also remove him from the Veepstakes.  Mayor Peterson would make a fine senator.

by Vox Populi 2007-09-20 08:46AM | 0 recs
"Governor Privatize" Daniels Vulnerable

I am kind of conflicted on whom to support in the primary.  Most Dem leaders, including Bayh and Mayor Peterson, as well as interest groups like the UAW, have endorsed Jim Schellinger.  Schellinger is an Indianapolis businessman with no political office under his belt.  Jill Long-Thompson is a former Congreswoman from the northern tier of the state, and was in the Clinton Agriculture department.

She's leading the primary polls now and my heart wants to support her.  My head, however, is with Schellinger and his money.

by Vox Populi 2007-09-20 09:29AM | 0 recs
re
Mr. Daniels says he views privatization not as an ideological or partisan matter but as a strictly practical one. He has looked at every case individually, he said, and sought the most efficient solution for state services. From his printer, he pulled out a sheet of paper bearing a one-sentence quotation attributed to a Democrat, former Gov. Mario M. Cuomo of New York: "It is not government's obligation to provide services, but to see they're provided."
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FX Trading System
by galin 2007-10-30 06:28AM | 0 recs

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