John McCain's Standing in Arizona Continues to Crumble
by Jonathan Singer, Wed Aug 29, 2007 at 04:35:57 PM EDT
Last week I pointed to polling out of Arizona showing that John McCain's standing with voters in the state has deteriorated dramatically. To the point, in a hypothetical matchup against Democratic Governor Janet Napolitano, who will be barred by term limits from seeking another term in 2010 when McCain is next up for reelection, McCain trails by 11 points, failing to even get close to 40 percent support. Now new polling out of the state seems to confirm the results of the previous poll -- John McCain is becoming less and less popular in Arizona, where he once enjoyed wide-ranging support. The Associated Press has the story.
A new poll finds Senator John McCain's standing in the 2008 presidential race in his home state continuing to slip though he remains slightly ahead of 3 fellow Republicans regarded as his chief rivals.
A telephone survey conducted by Arizona State University found that of 295 Republican voters surveyed, 24% favored McCain.
Meanwhile, Mitt Romney drew support from 19%, Rudy Giuliani 18% and Fred Thompson 17%.
The level of support for McCain was down from 32% in late April and 44% in February in similar polls conducted by ASU's Cronkite school of journalism and KAET-TV.
The 20-point drop since the beginning of the year is remarkable. Seldom do serious candidates for the presidency exhibit such trouble rallying support in their own home states. For instance, Howard Dean won the Vermont presidential primary convincingly in March 2004 despite having failed to win any other binding primaries or caucuses previously, despite having tamped down his campaign drastically, despite having dropped significantly in national polling. So the fact that McCain is doing so terribly in Arizona is quite telling.
At this point it's not at all clear to me that McCain would win a race for another term in the United States Senate in 2010 (of course assuming he is unable to win the presidency next year...). As a result, make sure to chalk this up as one of the many races to keep an eye on for next cycle.