MO-Gov: Matt Blunt Looks Really Weak

Last night I pointed to a report that Missouri's GOP Governor Matt Blunt, son of the House Minority Whip Roy Blunt, had been passed over for the chairmanship of the Republican Governors Association. Now we can see why.

Rasmussen Reports, 500 LVs, 8/23/2007, MoE +/- 4.5%

If the election for Governor were held today, would you vote for Republican Matt Blunt or Democrat Jay Nixon?

Blunt 43 percent
Nixon 46 percent
Other 6 percent
Not Sure 5 percent

No wonder Blunt isn't going to be chairman of the RGA. It's not even clear that he's going to be able to win his reelection campaign against popular Democratic Attorney General Jay Nixon. At this point, both The Cook Political Report (.pdf) and The Rothenberg Political Report rate this race as a toss-up -- and for good reason. The aforementioned Rasmussen poll is the second straight public survey showing Blunt far below 50 percent -- SurveyUSA gave Nixon a 57 percent to 38 percent lead last month -- a terrible position for an incumbent seeking reelection.

Missourians are clearly rethinking their decision in 2004 to narrowly elect Blunt over Claire McCaskill, the latter of whom is now United States Senator while the former is widely unpopular among his constituents. And increasingly it looks like they just may act on these sentiments, stopping Blunt from serving another term and replacing him with Nixon.

Tags: Governor 2008, Missouri, MO-Gov (all tags)

Comments

8 Comments

Re: MO-Gov: Matt Blunt Looks Really Weak

by gobacktotexas 2007-08-28 07:43AM | 0 recs
Re: MO-Gov: Matt Blunt Looks Really Weak

Jay Nixon is a very, very weak candidate.  His previous senate bid was a disaster--he severely divided democratic constituencies without building any new inroads elsewhere.  No one much likes Blunt, but beware getting too excited about Nixon.

by Valatan 2007-08-28 08:44AM | 0 recs
Re: MO-Gov: Matt Blunt Looks Really Weak

As a native Missourian it's true that Baby Blunt is very weak but I have to agree that, in theory, we could do better than Jay Nixon.  I had thought that Robin Carnihan might run.  Jeff Smith?

by howardpark 2007-08-28 09:08AM | 0 recs
Nixon will do just fine....

Carnahan has health problems and Smith is not well known outside of St. Louis -- although he is definitely a future star of the Democratic party in Missouri.  Nixon is solid enough, given the repulsion that Blunt engenders.  Even the conservative Missouri Bar and all the corporate civic do-gooders are incredulous that Blunt is attacking the "Missouri Plan" for non-partisan selection of appellate and city judges, a Plan that has been emulated and praised nationwide since 1940.

by Arthurkc 2007-08-28 09:55AM | 0 recs
Re: MO-Gov: Matt Blunt Looks Really Weak

Is Jay Nixon the Missouri version of Steven Beshear.

by nkpolitics 2007-08-28 10:27AM | 0 recs
Re: MO-Gov: Matt Blunt Looks Really Weak

   "Nixon: Now more than ever"  

   "Nixon's the one"

  Now I don't know much about Jay, since I don't live in MO, but it would be nice to have a more positive association with his last name than the only President born in my state and the only one to resign under threat of impeachment...

by Zack from the SFV 2007-08-28 11:37AM | 0 recs
Re: MO-Gov: Matt Blunt Looks Really Weak

i wonder if the name Nixon actually helps him more than hurts him.

by sepulvedaj3 2007-08-28 12:56PM | 0 recs
Re: MO-Gov: Matt Blunt Looks Really Weak
Jay Nixon is an extremely popular (and relatively populist) AG.  Survey USA actually showed him further ahead than this.
Ever since Blunt cut MC+ funding at the begining of his term, he has been headed for defeat.  He isn't pulling nearly the support he needs out of counties like Clay, Platte, and Jackson.  
Jay Nixon bumber stickers are already all over my neighborhood in Kansas City.
by jefedelosjefes64105 2007-08-28 02:57PM | 0 recs

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