MO-Gov: Matt Blunt Looks Really Weak
by Jonathan Singer, Tue Aug 28, 2007 at 07:27:01 AM EDT
Last night I pointed to a report that Missouri's GOP Governor Matt Blunt, son of the House Minority Whip Roy Blunt, had been passed over for the chairmanship of the Republican Governors Association. Now we can see why.
Rasmussen Reports, 500 LVs, 8/23/2007, MoE +/- 4.5%
If the election for Governor were held today, would you vote for Republican Matt Blunt or Democrat Jay Nixon?
Blunt 43 percent
Nixon 46 percent
Other 6 percent
Not Sure 5 percent
No wonder Blunt isn't going to be chairman of the RGA. It's not even clear that he's going to be able to win his reelection campaign against popular Democratic Attorney General Jay Nixon. At this point, both The Cook Political Report (.pdf) and The Rothenberg Political Report rate this race as a toss-up -- and for good reason. The aforementioned Rasmussen poll is the second straight public survey showing Blunt far below 50 percent -- SurveyUSA gave Nixon a 57 percent to 38 percent lead last month -- a terrible position for an incumbent seeking reelection.
Missourians are clearly rethinking their decision in 2004 to narrowly elect Blunt over Claire McCaskill, the latter of whom is now United States Senator while the former is widely unpopular among his constituents. And increasingly it looks like they just may act on these sentiments, stopping Blunt from serving another term and replacing him with Nixon.