Iowa Straw Poll Results Open Thread
by Todd Beeton, Sat Aug 11, 2007 at 04:58:11 PM EDT
The results of the Ames Iowa Straw Poll, which Iowa Independent is reporting resulted in a mere 14,000 votes (they were expecting 30,000,) were supposed to have been announced at 7pm Central time but there's been a delay of indeterminate origin. Let the conspiracy theories commence. I like this comment from their liveblog:
Maybe they're trying to figure out how to announce "none of the above" in a positive way.
This event is a fundraiser for the Iowa Republican Party so I take it the low turnout means that their coffers are not exactly overflowing today, for which we can thank Rudy Giuliani, Fred Thompson and John McCain, who bailed out of the event.
The hollowness of the event notwithstanding, the results are interesting to the extent that they impact the field. We could actually see some candidates drop out today. So wait with me, won't you, as the votes are tabulated.
Thoughts on what's causing the delay? Predictions of who's in 2nd-4th? Who drops out today?Update [2007-8-11 21:12:11 by Todd Beeton]: From NYT Caucus:
Party officials say there is a problem counting ballots. Foul play is not suspected. It is, after all, an event sponsored by Republicans for Republicans. The latest estimate? 8:30 p.m. Iowa time.And this from Iowa Independent:
The Iowa GOP just confirmed that one voting machine malfunctioned during today's Straw Poll, and some 1,500 ballots must be recounted by hand.You'll recall that supporters of Ron Paul had petitioned for the voting machines -- made by Diebold -- to be prevented from being used to count the votes in today's straw poll, a request that was denied. When are these guys going to learn that these machines are crap? And why does this discredited company get any business at all?
Update [2007-8-11 21:24:41 by Todd Beeton]:Results:
Mitt Romney 31.6% Mike Huckabee 18.1% Sam Brownback 15.3% Tom Tancredo 13.7% Ron Paul 9.1% Tommy Thompson 7.3% Fred Thompson 1.4% Rudy Giuliani 1.3% Duncan Hunter 1.2% John McCain 0.7% Jon Cox 0.3%Update [2007-8-11 21:47:57 by Todd Beeton]: I updated %'s per DesMoines Register
Update [2007-8-11 21:35:0 by Todd Beeton]: Big day for Huckabee. Can't wait to hear how much he spent compared to Romney. 32% is all Romney could draw with all that money and organization? Pretty weak. Solid showing by Ron Paul as well (as compared to expectations.) Hopefully Hunter and T. Thompson will bid farewell after this.