Hastert's Potential Retirement Could Open Up IL-14

Late last week we heard rumors of forthcoming news that former House Speaker Denny Hastert would either be retiring at the end of this Congress or would leave his position representing Illinois' 14th district even earlier, resigning before his term is up. Now Robert Novak reports for the Chicago Sun-Times that, yes, this is indeed the case.

Former House Speaker J. Dennis Hastert has indicated to a close former aide that it is likely he will not run for a 12th term from his northern Illinois district and may even resign from Congress before his present term concludes.

That runs counter to widespread speculation on Capitol Hill that Hastert will continue in the House for another two years as a private member with no leadership responsibilities. Since last year's Democratic takeover of Congress moved him out of the speaker's office, he has enjoyed returning to his former specialty of energy issues as a member of the House Energy and Commerce Committee.

A footnote: If Hastert does not run, a leading candidate will be his chief of staff, Mike Stokke. Before going on Hastert's staff, Stokke was an aide for both the Illinois Legislature and the governor's office in Springfield.

Looking at the signs, there is reason to believe that Hastert will not serve out the remainder of his term -- even though just six and a half months ago he said that he would. Clearly, a demotion from Speaker to just another member, particularly a member in the minority (which has little to no power in the House), is one that would be difficult for anyone to stomach for very long, and one that could lead a member to resign rather than continue to serve. The fact that Hastert isn't going out of his way to raise funds -- he brought in roughly $150,000 during the second quarter and only has about $75,000 in the bank -- doesn't make Hastert look like a member who particularly cares about running again.

It's also quite possible that Hastert will serve out the remainder of his term only to announce that he will not run for reelection. This would open up a very competitive race to choose his successor in a district that, while leaning towards the Republicans (IL-14 has a Cook PVI of R+4 R+5), would nonetheless be competitive without an incumbent running. There are currently four Democrats running in the race -- 2006 Democratic nominee John Laesch, state Rep. Linda Chapa LaVia, scientist Bill Foster and attorney Jotham Stein -- and as you can see from campaign finance filings, each of them (with the exception of the first) has been raising and spending money already, with Foster, in particular, bringing in an impressive $130,000 in the second quarter. (Update [2007-7-23 13:36:10 by Jonathan Singer]:Per reader JJCPA, perhaps I should have read Foster's actual campaign finance report rather than just the topline numbers when talking about his fundraising success. Foster gave his campaign about $120,000 of the $130,000 he raised in the second quarter.) Laesch's name recognition garnered from his first run, as well as his ties to the grassroots and netroots, are also a plus for his candidacy.

Mark this down as another race to watch this cycle.

Tags: Dennis Hastert, House 2008, IL-14, Illinois (all tags)

Comments

38 Comments

Re: Hastert's Potential Retirement Could Open Up I

I live close to his district and the landscape is changing to younger and more liberal.  Chances are the R +4 may be off, and it could be closer to R +2 or R +1  

by yitbos96bb 2007-07-23 09:08AM | 0 recs
Re: Hastert's Potential
Bill Foster is self-funding.  He didn't raise an "impressive $150k", he wrote himself a check.
Not that I'm knocking him.  If a wealthy self funder can turn the 14th blue, I'm perfectly happy with that.  
by JJCPA 2007-07-23 09:32AM | 0 recs
Definately swing district, anchor millions GOP $s

Back to the fundamentals of the 50 state strategy and contesting every district.  The PVI of R+4 is anemic at best.  The GOP will be forced to decide whether or not it can afford to pour millions into a district that was once safe.  Additionaly, this race would serve fantastically as anchor district whereas for every $1 the democrat spent, the GOP was forced to spend 5 or 10 times the amount, anchoring a great deal of GOP money that would get spent elsewhere.  The DCCC would be wise to even modestly support this race.  Also, supporting this district would continue to build on the progressive foundation that is growing there.  Democrats winning local elections is essential to keep the progressive majority growing and prospering

by gasperc 2007-07-23 09:37AM | 0 recs
depends on the candidate...

not sure there's much reason to help out foster, the likely nominee (assuming the la via passes on the race, which is my current assumption).  and laesch may have a charming online personality, but it doesn't extend well into the district.  he underperformed in 2006, ran at best a woeful campaign, and is known in illinois as pretty much a joke...

by bored now 2007-07-23 09:43AM | 0 recs
Re: depends on the candidate...

Well, now, that's an interesting comment, but I can't think what it mgiht be based upon.

Considering the fact that Laesch's party organizing efforts are widely credited with making the district competitive, he forced Denny to spend $5.2 million to John's $300K and whittled Denny's margin down lower than it's ever been.  Down-ticket races did well, we have scores of new precinct persons - many recruited by Laesch.

I'll let the videos from the July 15 IL-14 fundraiser, where the candidates spoke mostly to local party activists, tell the story.

Foster:
http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid= -3379959890321615567&pr=goog-sl& hl=en

Stein:
http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid= -3586012636926550685&pr=goog-sl

Laesch:
http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid= -6444519894395500017&pr=goog-sl& hl=en

I don't hear those local activists and party insiders laughing at Laesch - I hear them interrupting him with applause.  Frequently.

What's your source?

Lisa Bennett
Blog Coordinator
Laesch for Congress

by Downtowner 2007-07-23 06:49PM | 0 recs
based on the facts...

laesch significantly underperformed the generic ballot democrat, which was possible only because he had such low name recognition going into election day.  there were democrats in the district who didn't vote for laesch, and those were democrats who had formed an impression of him.

the two congressional campaigns john has run have been amatuerish, at best.  he doesn't seem to understand all that is involved in a congressional campaign, an opinion that several in the dccc seem to share.

john laesch has certainly done his part to encourage that opinion.  progressives were appalled when laesch used machine politics against ruben zamora and when he wasted his oppo on wrongly "outing"  a fellow blogger.  it doesn't help that he's better known for his outrageous commentary than for his policy positions.  i'm not at all sure why we should take john laesch seriously -- he raised a mere $12,090 in the second quarter, dead last among declared candidates (with more credible candidates waiting in the wings).  with a february 5 primary six months away, he should have been raising six figures.  he's just not well organized.

you asked for my source, and that's easy: voters in IL-14.  i'm not surprised that you are unaware of that, laesch obviously isn't tolerant of differing views.  but none of this is new, we've hashed out the weaknesses of laesch's campaign before...

by bored now 2007-07-24 04:45AM | 0 recs
Again, I ask

What is your source?  I would like to know your source for this:

"laesch significantly underperformed the generic ballot democrat"

In the post of your analysis of the last election that you link here to as "we've hashed this out before" you refer to this speculative underperformance as well.  You say there that "the last generic ballot test in IL-14 showed the democratic candidate slightly behind the generic republican candidate 48% to 49% (62 respondents; no oversample; huge margin of error)."  I can believe that was a huge margin of error!!!  62 respondents?  62????  Who did this "poll?"  In addition to having a "huge margin of error" it is wildly inconsistent with the known leanings of the district and its past election performance.

I'll offer some sourced facts instead:

http://www.elections.il.gov/

In 2004 (when you point out in the post you link to here that Kerry took 45% of the vote) Hastert, a sitting speaker of the house, took 68.6% of the vote, in 2006, against Laesch, he took only 59.8%.

and this:

"he doesn't seem to understand all that is involved in a congressional campaign, an opinion that several in the dccc seem to share"

Who are these "several in the DCCC?"  Who/what is your source there?  The campaign was much in contact with the DCCC in 2006, and I can find you a myriad of sources (a simple google search would do so!) who will point out the DCCC strategy for 2006 Congressional elections was to put their resources behind "winnable" districts.  They are not exactly known to be on board with the 50 State Strategy.  Some supported the DCCC strategy, some opposed it, but there can be no dispute that IL-14 was identified as "unwinnable" by a myriad of "experts" before Laesch or anyone else even entered the primary!  After the groundwork in party-building done within the district - much of it by Laesch and his campaign - that is no longer the perception.
and this:

"there were democrats in the district who didn't vote for laesch, and those were democrats who had formed an impression of him"

No doubt there were Democrats who didn't vote for Laesch - no one can take 100% of the vote, even from their own party!  Laesch also took some significant independent and even some Republican votes.  Denny, by contrast, took 38% LESS total votes than he did in 2004.  And, thankfully, though we came up short we also had in place a more sophisticated ground game than has previously been employed by Dems in IL-14: we used the technology necessary to micro-target those areas where we need to improve those totals.  The statement that "those were Democrats who had formed an impression of him" is conjecture - they could have, as easily, been Democrats who were on vacation.

and this:

"you asked for my source, and that's easy: voters in IL-14"

I'll refer you again to the videos.  The people in that room are Dem activists and voters in IL-14...as I believe you are not?

and, most of all, this:

your lack of surprise that I am "unaware of that," (the supposed fact that IL-14 voters are supposedly "against") and "laesch obviously isn't tolerant of differing views."

It isn't "fact" so much as observation and experience, but as someone who has lived in this previously very Republican district for 40 years, and who spent more hours than I can count in public settings with him in 2006, I was continually astounded at the almost universally positive resident reaction to John on the campaign trail.   He can talk to almost anyone about almost anything - more importantly he can listen.  

Moreover, I can only say that, as the probably most persistent thorn in John's side concerning one or two issues on which he and I  disagreed in 2006, I can only find the suggestion that he is "intolerant of differing views" laughable: he spent more time than he should have not just debating those issues with me, but studying research I offered to back up my opinion and offering me counter-research. I even managed to change his mind on one position. I have seen this scenario play out with others - sometimes with John standing on the side of the road debating policy with a voter while an entire parade passes by and we are trying to get him back on the float.

The man does truly and sincerely listen.  Try him sometime.

In the meantime, I will ask once again:
Where are your sources?

by Downtowner 2007-07-24 08:01AM | 0 recs
you mean to tell me that the laesch campaign...

does not have a copy of the exit polling done in IL-14???  (that's my source for the statements about underperforming.)

there is no question that laesch has the loyal support of a slice of the electorate.  your videos don't show anything beyond that.  i'm talking name recognition, favorable/unfavorables, statistical analysis and you want to trot out videos?  gotcha.

so how much money did the dccc put into laesch's campaign???  engaging in wishful thinking is one thing.  spinning a weak candidate is quite another (btw, a little reading on your part would have answered all your questions, but it wasn't really about that, was it?)...

by bored now 2007-07-24 08:46AM | 0 recs
The exit poll?

Really?

The exit poll will not cut it, they are almost always notoriously unreliable and that one was more notoriously unreliable and useless than most.

Good statistical analysis is based first on a very simple concept: garbage in, garbage out.  This sample defines itself as garbage data.

You suggest you are "talking name recognition, favorable/unfavorables, statistical analysis" but it is statistical analysis based on unreliable data that you have noted yourself has an insane margin of error, and which was refuted by the very election it covered.  I am offering instead actual election results - very valid and reliable data.

Show us all a statistically valid poll or other primary research sample we can discuss and I'll be more than happy to discuss it.

by Downtowner 2007-07-24 09:18AM | 0 recs
Re: The exit poll?

yes, real data.  as opposed to your anecdotal framings.  the conclusions i've drawn are definitely within the margin of error.

you offer up election results where the candidate underperformed against the generic ballot test in the district, in a very good year for democrats against an opponent who should have been taken down (and probably would have been, if there had been a credible alternative in the race).  

you support a candidate with machine tendencies who has a history of abuse of power.  your evidence is pretty flimsy.  in all likelihood, laesch demonstrates the base democratic vote, not the potential democratic vote in the district.  if you're honest with yourself, you will hope that a stronger democrat than laesch will emerge, someone in whom the dccc, the netroots, illinois democrats and il-14 democrats can all have confidence.  john laesch doesn't meet that standard.  he's just a little too kooky...

by bored now 2007-07-24 09:46AM | 0 recs
Re: The exit poll?

Calling data "real" does not make it any more valid.  I can ask my closest ten neighbors what they think of provolone vs. cheddar, and the result will be "real" data based on primary research.  But it's still BAD data: no researcher would base a stitistical analysis of the market for various cheese varieties on such a statistically invalid sample!  Such an analysis could not help but be as anecdotal and subjective and unreliable as the sample itself.

I do not see how your conclusions can be called "within the margin of error."  Samples are within calculable moe's, conclusions are conclusions - subjective: i.e. subject to the perceptions of the analyst, even where the moe is more or less reasonable, as you have noted this one is definitely not.  That is one reason market researchers strive so hard to apply as much science as possible to a field that is admitted by the best of them to be at least half art.

I offer up election results that are historically reliable and verified secondary data, i.e. fact, you continue to compare that reliable data to bad data, derived from an unreliable sample, and use it as the basis of an interpretation that Laesch "underperformed."

Even in a vacuum, with no further primary or secondary data available, it is simply not possible for any researcher/analyst to draw such a conclusion, on the basis of the information available, and call it valid.  

GIGO: no one can perform reliable analysis on unreliable data.  

Good statistical research demands the researcher/analyst go back and collect reliable data, once they realize their data is not - or if that is not possible, as seems to be the case here - admit, no STRESS, that their analysis is unreliable, at least to the degree that the data is and quite probably exponentially more.  That's just the hard reality of statistical analysis.

by Downtowner 2007-07-24 10:39AM | 0 recs
your assumptions are wrong...

first of all, you're criticizing the moe of the generic ballot test (which included segments of il-14) but attributing them to the exit poll.

i'm sorry that you have a very narrow view of what data should be examined.  presumably you're only willing to consider data that affirms your pre-existing p.o.v.

otoh, i consider all kinds of data points (including prior election results, which don't exactly help your argument).  exit polls, local results for the generic ballot test, field work (and feedback), views of local voters, etc.  in the end, laesch didn't have a way out of the hole he dug himself.  he's proven to be a weak candidate, and your pointing to election results is indicative of that.

comparison to the generic ballot test only furthers that conclusion.  the average democrat should have pulled within the 10% range of hastert.  comparing john against another weak candidate only shows that he was stronger than a guy who didn't raise enough money to be credible.  all we can say from your data point is that john was a more credible candidate than ruben -- which isn't exactly an accomplishment...

by bored now 2007-07-24 11:22AM | 0 recs
But I asked you for

the source of the data tht led you to that conclusion and you replied:

"you mean to tell me that the laesch campaign... (none / 0)

does not have a copy of the exit polling done in IL-14???  (that's my source for the statements about underperforming.)"

But now you say you are basing your statement regarding "underperforming" on the ballot test?  Or on multiple data points?

I am willing to consider all data points as long as it is valid data, or duly noted as to the extent of its reliability/unreliability.

Whether you are, as you first said, basing that comment on the exit polling, or on other data sources as you now say, you have still not shared those sources, so neither I, nor anyone else, left without access to the raw data you used in the performance of your anlaysis, can examine the evidence for your conclusion: because I do not, in fact, draw conclusions on a pre-existing target based on thin air, nor do I recommend anyone else do so!

Do you have links to your sources?

by Downtowner 2007-07-24 11:40AM | 0 recs
read what i wrote...

and ask your campaign for these sources.  we are now beyond john being a weak candidate, you seem to be suggesting that he's incompetent.  it's shocking to me that you do not have access to the polling that has been done in your district and are reduced to asking a blogger for access to it.

is this like a pretend campaign???

john did not do as well as john kerry, nor did he have kerry's name recognition, nor did he raise sufficient funds to do that well.  democrats in il-14 deserve a candidate who can maintain a professional campaign, one that is aware of all the political activity around them, and one who allows voters in the area to be proud of voting for them.  it's sad to say that the laesch campaign is more amatuerish than i imagined...

by bored now 2007-07-24 12:12PM | 0 recs
Re: read what i wrote...

Just to clarify: I did not ask you for access to any poll conducted in IL-14, I asked you - many, many times - to identify which ones you used in your analysis.

Either you can not or you will not.

by Downtowner 2007-07-24 11:07PM | 0 recs
Re: read what i wrote...

right.  you're asking questions that show that the laesch campaign is completely clueless.  the answer to your question is both.  having signed ndas, i can not and will not violate the terms of those agreements.  what is stupid is that you point out that john is an underperformer but want to attack additional evidence that shows that he underperformed in 2006.  laesch < kerry == laesch < generic democrat.

you don't really want to win, do you?

more to the point, you can't explain why laesch uses machine tactics but tries to portray himself as a progressive.  you don't seem to touch the HRC thing, where john plays karl rove in trying to out valarie plame!  except that in john's case, he was doubly wrong -- morally wrong and inaccurately wrong.  instead, you want to isolate on why i would run the numbers and make conclusions based on them!  i mean, i understand that laesch is a hypocrite, but is john anti-science as well?  or is that just you?

i find it very interesting that in trying to spin for your candidate you have shown that he is even more incompetent as a candidate than i realized.  this is something that both grassroots leaders and political institutions need to know (and any that ask will be told).  i'm just appalled that anyone could run blind and think they are a credible candidate.  there's absolutely no point in supporting a democrat who runs with both hands tied behind their backs -- even if he was progressive and wasn't a hypocrite...

by bored now 2007-07-25 04:19AM | 0 recs
Re: read what i wrote...

Alright.  This is all ridiculous.  Bored Now and the small gang of Ruben Zamora supporters from a few other sites are still bitter that he lost the primary last time around.  It's that simple.

They never give sources for any claims made.  It's garbage and should be treated as such.  Absolutely no better than the Swift Boat Liars of 2004.

by Jared Lash 2007-07-25 03:29PM | 0 recs
Re: Definately swing district, anchor millions GOP

With all the new, cheaper housing going up in IL-14 there is no way its R +4 still...  Most of the people moving in are younger families who are more moderate and liberal.

And no way the DCCC doesn't go after this if its open in the way they went after Hyde... Its a pride thing...

by yitbos96bb 2007-07-23 10:04AM | 0 recs
that doesn't strictly met the standards...

of protect and extend.  first of all the democratic party(ies) in il-14 are immature and a little calcified.  so there are structural obstacles to overcome.  to his credit, laesch has at least given lip service to rectifying this.

i completely agree that exurbs should be targets for democrats in general, but without a home-grown leadership that is interested in doing this, it's hard to see how it happens.  remember that exurbs in illinois are not without democratic "organization," they are simply without modern democratic organization.  anyone attempting to modernize democrats in illinois faces the same kind of resistence found here.

having said all that, at least some lip service will be given to helping out if it's an open seat.  i just wouldn't expect much more than that...

by bored now 2007-07-23 10:21AM | 0 recs
Re: that doesn't strictly met the standards...

Its a fair point... But the thing to remember is that 1) NOT ALL of IL-14 is exurbs... There is a lot of Aurora/Naperville influence in that area, and whether they are actually classified as Exurb or not, act like the more moderate/progresive suburbs.      The state party is also strong... as for the pride thing, Illinois Dems have some big players in the House and my bet is they will be pushing for them to through money at this race.

by yitbos96bb 2007-07-23 02:10PM | 0 recs
Re: that doesn't strictly met the standards...

Naperville is not in IL-14.  Aurora, Elgin, and DeKalb (home of Northern Illinois University) are however.

Lisa Bennett
Blog Coordinator
Laesch for Congress

by Downtowner 2007-07-23 07:11PM | 0 recs
Re: Hastert's Potential Retirement Could

I was neither impressed by Laesch personally or his campaign in 2006.  Reminds me of Ginny Schrader -- nice person, but not a great, confident candidate.  His appearance at YKos '06 was kinda embarrassing in its desperation.

by Adam B 2007-07-23 10:04AM | 0 recs
Re: Hastert's Potential Retirement Could

Also not so sure about his netroots "support," especially what I've seen/read on PSB. He's not a crowd favorite and any post about his campaign is sure to spark a lot of "passonate" comments.

by michael in chicago 2007-07-23 11:57AM | 0 recs
Re: Hastert's Potential Retirement Could

Would like to suggest you take a look at the videos (all of them) I posted links for in my reply to borednow's comment above, before coming to the conclusion that Laesch is not a "crowd favorite."

I can only say I have been present, many, many times, when Laesch addressed a crowd.  I have never seen a crowd respond less than enthusiastically to him.  I think the extent of it is hard to perceive if you have not been present when he is speaking.

Check the videos.

Lisa Bennett
Blog Coordinator
Laesch for Congress

by Downtowner 2007-07-23 07:19PM | 0 recs
Re: Hastert's Potential Retirement Could

Laesch stepped up.  He got others to step up, myself included.  He knew in 2006 that defeating the incumbent Speaker wasn't a simple task.  You are of course entitled to your opinions of his appearance at YearlyKos 2006.

As one of the people who urged him to go, I'll take the blame for that.

It takes confidence, in yourself and your cause to come forth and flat-out ask what it takes to be "netroots endorsed", as the old list of blessed candidates was called.

John knows what it will take for him to win, both the primary and the general.  He knows who he wants to represent in Congress:  the people.  And he knows that we will be better off with a strong progressive voice representing the 14th.

by Jared Lash 2007-07-23 07:29PM | 0 recs
zamora stepped up, too...

i'm surprised that you think that laesch knows what it takes to win -- we've seen absolutely no indication of that (in fact, just the opposite), and his campaigns would better be characterized as amateurish.  i would strongly, strongly protest calling him progressive, given the tactics he's employed.  having said that, i'm glad he's inspired you, and i hope your inspiration continues for whoever voters choose on february 5 (i'm assuming it won't be laesch)...

by bored now 2007-07-24 04:51AM | 0 recs
Re: zamora stepped up, too...

Perhaps you are unaware that Laesch (who was getting married and involved in his wedding) stated well before the deadline that he was not yet actively fundraising?

As for the long hashed-out petition challenge to Zamora, it is long and it is complicated.  It has been hashed out at length.  And hashed out.  And hashed out...  As with most stories, there are two sides of it, and this one is not an uncommon story, since such petition challenges happen all the time.  It is also old news.

Truly, I think you should come out to our district and meet with Laesch - I believe you are not far away?  He would talk to you all day - probably while we are trying to get him moving along to the next meeting!

I don't know that "inspiration" is the word I would use.  This grandmother is too old and weary and experienced in life's disappointments to get dewy-eyed about much, including candidates.  I play to win in my professional life, and that habit is so engrained I am not exactly inclined to quixotic efforts in my political life.  Laesch will win the primary, and that is fortunate for IL-14: go look at the videos.  He is the candidate we need representing us in this red-turning-purple district.  

I think if you talk to John for yourself you will discover substance there that, from you comments, I can only believe will surprise you. I invite you again: come meet with him.  Blog about it.

by Downtowner 2007-07-24 08:22AM | 0 recs
oh, he's definitey a weak candidate...

getting married or not.  one presumes that laesch can actually read a calendar.  but, yes, i was aware he was getting married.  he's hardly the first to do so.

the issue with zamora isn't complicated at all.  progressives believe that candidates have a right to run -- and that illinois' standards are oppressive in this regard.  john laesch, otoh, employed machine tactics to try to knock another person off the ballot (someone who hardly constituted a credible threat).  there's no question about that.  so much for laesch being a progressive.

and i've met laesch.  which is why i have this opinion about him.  nice guy.  clueless as all get out.  john laesch has no chance of winning, for so many reasons.  it would be a shame it the netroots got invested in him again when there's nothing at stake here.  every other democratic candidate has a better chance of turning IL-14 blue than he does...

by bored now 2007-07-24 08:51AM | 0 recs
I'm sorry you are unwilling to meet with Laesch

Did you get a chance to speak with him at any length when you met or was it one of those meetings-in-passing at an event?

by Downtowner 2007-07-24 09:21AM | 0 recs
i spent sufficient time with him to get a sense...

of who is was and what he was capable of (both in chicago and dc).  if he changes, we will definitely see the signs (which none exist atm).  he's not the first candidate i ever talked to...

by bored now 2007-07-24 09:40AM | 0 recs
Am glad

you are willing to keep an open mind.  Hope to see you out there this campaign season, and that we have another chance to discuss John's candidacy down the line.

Lisa

by Downtowner 2007-07-24 10:48AM | 0 recs
Re: Hastert's Potential Retirement Could

Lots of candidates attended DailyKos, but he seemed to be there the whole damn time, and it all felt desperate and unprofessional.

by Adam B 2007-07-24 12:15PM | 0 recs
Flyntmas

Just so I'm on the record as having called it, I'm nearly certain at this point that this is all because Denny Hastert is worried that his misdeeds are in Larry Flynt's little pink book of sexual iniquity. We'll see, but I'm calling it!

by Pender 2007-07-23 10:58AM | 0 recs
Open Up IL-14

You guys have to understand, Hastert is just the start.  We know how many people who are retiring in 2008?  Not nearly as many that are going to.  Expectations are that more are going to retire than last election.  Benawu posted Districts with confirmed candidates - 84; Districts with unconfirmed candidates - 3;Districts with rumoured candidates - 31; Districts without any candidates - 84.  

We're going to contest any seat.  Hastert's seat isn't as lopsided as it looks.  Bush won 55% to 44%, that's not a lot.  

by JeremiahTheMessiah 2007-07-23 12:07PM | 0 recs
Re: Hastert's Potential Retirement Could Open Up I

This is definitely promising news to get another seat in Illinois, and it would certainly be symbolic.

by takingbackamerica 2007-07-23 02:34PM | 0 recs
dan seals in IL-10 is illinois' best chance...

to turn red to blue.  that's where progressives in illinois will be focusing their attention...

by bored now 2007-07-24 04:52AM | 0 recs
Linda Chapa LaVia has said

she will not consider a run unless Hastert definitely retires.  She is not (yet) a declared candidate, though she has formed an exploratory committee.

Lisa Bennett
Blog Coordinator
Laesch for Congress

by Downtowner 2007-07-23 07:26PM | 0 recs
Embarrassing Videos

Lisa, the videos of John that are on YouTube are simply embarrassing. Especially this one.

A quick search of his name on YouTube yields all sorts of embarrassing scenarios.

The video you are referencing of John is embarrassing. It is hard for me to believe that you think this is good evidence of his credibility.

by bridgetdooley 2007-07-26 06:45PM | 0 recs

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