Primary Day in Kentucky

Here's the latest SUSA poll:

REPUBLICANS

    * Ernie Fletcher - 44 percent
    * Anne Northup - 34 percent
    * Billy Harper - 17 percent
    * Undecided - 5 percent

DEMOCRATS

    * Steve Beshear - 32 percent
    * Bruce Lunsford- 23 percent
    * Steve Henry - 17 percent
    * Jody Richards - 12 percent
    * Gatewood Galbraith - 7 percent
    * Otis Hensley - 1 percent
    * Undecided - 6 percent
If the polls are correct, and this goes to a run-off between Beshear and Lunsford, I hope that the Democratic presidential candidates will go to Kentucky to help out Steve Beshear in beating the anti-labor and Fletcher-endorsing Lunsford. Despite having all the out-of-state staff and consultant machinery help Lushford could buy, Mark Nickolas is predicting that the Beshear wins, maybe without a run-off:
DEMOCRATS: Steve Beshear (D) looks poised to deliver a very strong win on Tuesday as he has clearly (and impressively) broken away from the pack in the past few weeks. Given the trend, it seems that Beshear will end up in the 36% to 43% range.
He goes on to cite that Beshear will crush Fletcher in the Fall election. But if the Beshear - Lunsford race goes into a run-off, this is a race where the netroots and labor can team up to help Beshear-Mongiardo defeat Lusford-Stumbo.

Tags: Bruce Lunsford, Ernie Fletcher, Steve Beshear (all tags)

Comments

9 Comments

Re: Primary Day in Kentucky

All I'll say is that the day-before SUSA polls of the Philadelphia's mayor's race were exactly correct in calling a five-way field.

by Adam B 2007-05-22 09:10AM | 0 recs
Re: Primary Day in Kentucky

How does Fletcher survive when half his administration was indicted or resigned in shame? Damn, Kentucky, get it together!

by ND1979 2007-05-22 11:19AM | 0 recs
Re: Primary Day in Kentucky

Don't forget it's KY republicans that are voting on keeping Fletcher or not. I've never known republican primary voters to be terribly good at making the right decisions.

by Quinton 2007-05-22 01:22PM | 0 recs
Re: Primary Day in Kentucky

Republicans tend to stick to their guys.  Under Republican ideals, being "moderate" is a bigger crime than anything the Fletcher administration has done.

by Tom 2007-05-22 02:50PM | 0 recs
Re: Primary Day in Kentucky

I'm going to lay out my simple understanding of this, so I can just get some closure.  

We want a good candidate, so we can win the Governers race which will be in the fall.  Mostly to have the governors seat and scare the pants off McConnell.  (God knows his pants could be off anyways)
We want Beshear to win because he's a good guy, and we don't want Lunsford to win because he's a bad guy and a total dousch...

Sound about right?  Simple version of it.  Too much blogger logo and hip hop fiddly flop junk in the trunk etc.  

by JeremiahTheMessiah 2007-05-22 11:59AM | 0 recs
Re: Primary Day in Kentucky

Plus, Lunsford is part of McConnell's machine, so there is a chance that if he is nominated he'll endorse McConnell over whomever we nominate against McConnell in the Senate race, thus undermining our efforts to replace McConnell.

by Conquest 2007-05-22 12:22PM | 0 recs
Re: Primary Day in Kentucky

"a chance" he will? I think it's a given. He endorsed Fletcher last time and is close with McConnel too.

by Quinton 2007-05-22 01:21PM | 0 recs
Re: Primary Day in Kentucky

I volunteered for Beshear in a campaign long ago.  He is progressive, but moderate enough to do well in Kentucky.  He served the commonwealth well as AG and Lt Gov.  His running mate, Dr. Dan, nearly beat Bunning for senate in 2004.  I wish them the best.

I also wish Gov. Fletcher the best today.  He is so disliked, he would have a very hard time winning in November.  And with what has proven to be a very nasty Republican primary, he may have trouble even unifying his base.  Northup would be a strong contender in the fall, so for today,Go Ernie.

Of note (although I do not know what impact it will have), turnout had been projected to be very low and the number of absentees was reported to be lower than four years ago, but today, the Sec of State has increased his turnout projection to 20% (I think it had been 17%), and says that absentees proved to be higher than four years ago.  
http://www.whas.com/pages/whaslocalnews. html?feed=145498&article=2155151

by hilltopper 2007-05-22 02:01PM | 0 recs
Re: Primary Day in Kentucky

I voted here in Louisville at 3:00 P.M.  Turnout was light and I live in a liberal precinct.  Nevertheless, this primary is the first brick in the rebuilding of the Kentucky Democratic Party. Breshear is a supporter of the 50 state strategy, and I've heard if he wins, Howard Dean will invest in Kentucky

With Beshear as Governor, we'll have a new party chairman and a fairly progressive thinker in the Mansion.  Efforts to defeat Mitch McConnell are underway and we're gonna return Kentucky to the Democratic side of the aisle in '08.

Check out DitchMitchKy.com if you have time.  Matt Gunterman and Cliff Schecter are doing a hell of job with this blog.  Good writing and terrific content.

by Nick Stump 2007-05-22 02:30PM | 0 recs

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