Clinton's inevitable train would start in New Hampshire
by Jerome Armstrong, Sun Mar 11, 2007 at 08:16:37 AM EDT
It helped that Clinton got Karen Hicks, who ran New Hampshire for Dean in 2004. Now Clinton's hired Sarah Nolan, who was [one of] Howard Dean's Seacoast organizers four years ago, as her political director (and in a move that a sign of things to come, Clinton's announced hiring a director of online organizing in New Hampshire). Clinton also got the endorsement from the NH House Majority leader, Mary Jane Wallner. The Shaheen's are also said to be going to Clinton. That's substantive, as it shows that Clinton is getting the leadership of both the Dean and Kerry '04 operations.
With Edwards still in the thick of it from his '04 operation, I don't think it too sacrosanct to say that Obama is way behind in New Hampshire. Can Obama build it from the ground up? Sure, Dean did. But is hiring Gephardt's '04 team for his NH leadership a sign of that to come? Hmm. I would also note that although a lot of the funding that backed Mark Warner is said to have gone to Obama, people working New Hampshire for Warner (and he was strong there) are backing Clinton (probably Lynch too). Obama would have to go after Clinton on the Iraq war, hard, to make it competitive.
Patrick Hynes video'd some of her "100 Club" speech, and thinks Clinton has shifted in message too -- saying Bush Ignores 'Invisible American' -- signaling a change in the focus of her campaign for the presidency. Considering that all the rumors say that New Hampshire is likely to jump ahead of Iowa for its primary, Clinton is in a very strong position to begin the nomination on a winning streak.