Clinton Up By Double-Digit Margin in New Hampshire
by Jonathan Singer, Tue Feb 06, 2007 at 06:09:51 PM EST
353 likely Democratic New Hampshire primary voters (MoE +/- 5.2 percent), 2/1-5/2007
|Percent Support||Favorability Rating Among Dems|
|Hillary Clinton||35 percent||74 fav/15 unfav (+59)|
|Barack Obama||21 percent||67 fav/12 unfav (+55)|
|John Edwards||16 percent||74 fav/13 unfav (+61)|
|Al Gore||8 percent||63 fav/27 unfav (+37)|
|Joe Biden||3 percent||29 fav/25 unfav (+4)|
|Wes Clark||1 percent||36 fav/28 unfav (+8)|
|Bill Richardson||1 percent||26 fav/17 unfav (+9)|
|Tom Vilsack||1 percent||7 fav/18 unfav (-11)|
|Chris Dodd||1 percent||22 fav/20 unfav (+2)|
|Dennis Kucinich||-||24 fav/31 unfav (-7)|
|Mike Gravel||-||5 fav/15 unfav (-10)|
|Al Sharpton||-||14 fav/57 unfav (-43)|
This is the first survey, to my knowledge, that has made publicly available both head-to-head numbers for the Democratic primary as well as favorable/unfavorable numbers for each of the candidates in the race (and I stress each, including potential candidates Gore, Wes Clark and Al Sharpton). As such, it offers some fairly good insights into the state of the race today.
But the numbers listed above do not tell the entire story of the race. UNH also asked the likely Democratic primary voters who their least favored Democrat in the race is, and interestingly Clinton leads that statistic among the top tier candidates with 9 percent, only trailing Sharpton at 28 percent and tied with Dennis Kucinich. Biden and Gore clock in at 5 percent apiece in this category, Obama at 4 percent, Clark at 3 percent, and Edwards at 2 percent. Not to be mistaken, this metric does not at all doom Clinton. Yet it should have her team at least mindful that there is a noticeable segment of the primary electorate wholly opposed to her candidacy.
There's a lot of other very interesting information contained in the poll that is free for perusal at the aforementioned link, for those who are interested, as well as numbers on the race among the Republicans, which, in short, finds John McCain and Rudy Giuliani in a statistical dead heat at 28 percent and 27 percent, respectively, Mitt Romney at 13 percent, Newt Gingrich at 9 percent and no other candidate reaching 4 percent.