DCCC's 40 Seat Target List
by Todd Beeton, Thu Dec 20, 2007 at 04:12:10 PM EST
Last month, DCCC chair Chris Van Hollen outlined the essence of his 2008 strategy: go on offense against 40 or so Republican seats that they deemed vulnerable. Today Roll Call (behind subscription firewall) is reporting that Van Hollen has gotten more specific:
Among the 40 Republican-held seats the DCCC is targeting generally, Van Hollen acknowledged that not all of them are exceedingly vulnerable to a Democratic takeover. But he said they all exhibit potential, and include a mixture of the following factors:
* The demographics of the district benefit the Democratic candidate.
* The Democratic presidential nominee won the district in 2004.
* The Democratic presidential nominee performed reasonably well in the district in 2004, and the 2008 Democratic House candidate is particularly strong.
* The Republican incumbent running for re-election in the district is damaged -- either ethically or in some other manner.
"We're now letting our base know, our supporters around the country know, that it's critical that they now start directing resources to some of our key challengers," Van Hollen said. "We think we've done a good job putting our Frontliners in good shape."
The list includes the following seats listed with incumbent if there is one:
AK-AL: Don Young
AZ-03: John Shadegg
CA-04: John Doolittle
CA-26: David Dreier
CA-50: Brian Bilbray
CO-04: Marilyn Musgrave
CT-04: Chris Shays
FL-08: Ric Keller
FL-09: Gus Bilirakis
FL-13: Vern Buchanan
FL-24: Tom Feeney
ID-01: Bill Sali
IL-10: Mark Kirk
MI-07: Tim Walberg
MI-09: Joe Knollenberg
MN-06: Michele Bachmann
MO-06: Sam Graves
NV-03: Jon Porter
NY-13: Vito Fossella
NY-25: Jim Walsh
NY-26: Tom Reynolds
NY-29: Randy Kuhl
NC-08: Robin Hayes
OH-01: Steve Chabot
OH-02: Jean Schmidt
OH-14: Steve LaTourette
PA-03: Phil English
WA-08: Dave Reichert
WV-02: Sheley Moore Capito
This news comes as the committees' November receipts are reported and continue to show the Democrats in great position.
The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee continued its strong fundraising pace in November, hauling in $4.1 million in receipts for the month compared with $2.7 million for the National Republican Congressional Committee.
The DCCC spent $2.7 million in November, leaving it with $30.6 million in cash on hand, according to FEC reports. The NRCC, meanwhile, spent $2.9 million -- more money than it raised for the month. It lags way behind the Democrats in cash on hand, with just $2.3 million.
In somewhat of an understatement, Van Hollen said regarding the money disparity:
Van Hollen acknowledged that the DCCC's continuing wide cash advantage over the National Republican Congressional Committee was a key factor in his decision to shift his focus to aiding Democratic challengers.
"We don't have to spend all of our time worrying about what the Republican committee is going to be able to throw at our incumbents. There's no doubt that allows us some flexibility," Van Hollen told Roll Call. "It has given us some room to maneuver. Definitely."
Obviously many on this list are no surprise, the usual suspects, but I am particularly gratified to see CA-26 on there. I see Dreier as definitely a top target next year and if all goes well in the primary, we're going to have a candidate in Russ Warner who will be well worth the investment. Indeed, overall, we have an embarrassment of riches among our challengers next year, glad to see they're going to be well taken care of by the DCCC.