Rasmussen Reports: McCain is Tanking

It shouldn't come as much of a surprise, but John McCain is losing ground within the electorate -- and fast. Rasmussen Reports has the details from their polling of 800 likely voters on Monday and Tuesday (MoE +/- 4.0%) of this past week.

McCain is now viewed favorably by just 52% of American voters. That's down from 56% earlier this month and from 59% in December. His vocal advocacy of increased troop strength in Iraq may be having a negative impact on his popularity. Just one-third of voters (34%) share McCain's view while 56% want to go in the opposite direction and reduce the number of troops in Iraq. However, 94% think the troops will still be fighting in Iraq when the next President takes office.

This poll showed McCain leading Bill Richardson, who is unknown to a plurality of likely voters, but within the margin of error, 43 percent to 39 percent. Rasmussen polling from a week earlier also showed McCain having trouble with a number of Democratic candidates.

Senator John McCain (R), one of the most vocal advocates of sending more troops to Iraq, has lost ground in the Election 2008 sweepstakes. He now trails both John Edwards (D) and Barack Obama (D) in general election match-ups. Prior to this survey, McCain had been ahead of every Democratic challenger in every Rasmussen Reports poll (see summary of general election match-ups).

Obama leads McCain 47% to 44%. Edwards also holds a three-point lead, 46% to 43%. A month ago, McCain held a two-point edge over Obama and a five point lead over Edwards.

McCain's support has declined among unaffiliated voters. Obama now leads McCain by an 11-point margin among this important segment of the electorate. Edwards and McCain are essentially even among unaffiliated voters.

These numbers just go to show that the public is paying attention to McCain's cynical games on Iraq, first supporting an unpopular increase in American troops then trying to back away from that exact plan by claiming it is not sufficient. The more Americans learn about John McCain -- particularly now that the media is not giving him a free pass, as they largely did eight years ago -- the less they like him. And given that between 85 percent and 95 percent of Americans know of John McCain and somewhere in the neighborhood of 75 percent of Americans know enough about him to rate him either positively or negatively, the fact that he can't crack 45 percent against most of the leading Democratic candidates for President should have people speaking dismissively of his "electability" -- talk that would be certainly more warranted than the claims that Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama or other particular leading Democrat would not be able to marshall the necessary support to win the presidency in 2008.

Tags: John McCain (all tags)



Re: Rasmussen Reports: McCain is Tanking

agreed.  mccain and guiliani are all hype.  I think there's a far greater chance that a romney or huckabee emerges as the mainstream conservative...a prospect that should make democrats everywhere smile.

by wjr24 2007-01-28 04:04PM | 0 recs
Re: Rasmussen Reports: McCain is Tanking

You heard it here first: Gov. Huckabee will be the nominee.

He'll appeal to the theocrat base while at the same time being able to have people sympathize for him since he was a fat ass and lost all the weight, plus he will be hawkish without all of John McCain's transparent opportunism on the war and Mitt Romney's extreme flip flopping.

I'm not sure how easy or hard it will be to defeat him...but get ready for him to be the nominee.

by need some wood 2007-01-28 04:09PM | 0 recs

I know it is early but I totally agree with you.  This guy is clean, affable and a perfect fit on social issues for the Republican base.

I have trouble not liking him myself even though I totally disagree with him about abortion and so forth.  He is also on the 'bipartisan' bandwagon big time.

In fact, I think he would run rings around HRC in the general, I cringe when I think of those two in a presidential debate.  Whereas against Obama, it would be like American Evangelical Idol.

by Shaun Appleby 2007-01-28 04:24PM | 0 recs
both clark and clinton

polled well vs Huckabee in a hypothetical match-up.

What is it about Huckabee that Arkansans polled didn't care for?

by dblhelix 2007-01-28 08:16PM | 0 recs
Re: both clark and clinton

Thanks but the link was to something else.  Didn't he poll well in Arkansas?  He keeps saying they are all Democrats byt somebody must have elected him.

by Shaun Appleby 2007-01-29 01:09AM | 0 recs
sorry shaun

that link was from my posting in another diary.

here's the correct link.

I don't know a whole lot about AR politics.

by dblhelix 2007-01-29 02:46AM | 0 recs
Re: sorry shaun

Cheers.  Interesting.  Clark did just well as HRC with less name recognition.  I didn't realise he was from Arkansas too.

by Shaun Appleby 2007-01-29 03:00AM | 0 recs
Re: Rasmussen Reports: McCain is Tanking

anyone wanna take bets on who of huckabee's rivals will be the first to use the "mike huckabee is half the man he used to be" line?

by lipris 2007-01-28 05:11PM | 0 recs
We best be getting ready for Huckabee ..

 We had better be getting ready to do battle with Mike Huckabee and soon. It will be either him or Brownback.

by activecitizen2007 2007-01-28 04:26PM | 0 recs
Re: We best be getting ready for Huckabee ..

Or Gingrich. Or Tommy Thompson.

by clarkent 2007-01-28 05:05PM | 0 recs
Re: We best be getting ready for Huckabee ..

Yeah, the 2 Republicans that Dems should worry about should be Huckabee and Thompson. Thompson may sound kinda boarish, but he (and perhaps Romney, Guiliani) is the most moderate one on the field, but unlike Guiliani, he doesn't have 10000 skeletons in his closet, and unlike Romney he isn't seen as a flip-flopper, isn't a Mormon, and can actually carry his home state. And yes, Wisconsin WILL vote for Thompson, it's really almost a guaranteed thing... for some reason they just love him. I'm not sure how much appeal he'll have outside of Wisconsin, though.

by KainIIIC 2007-01-28 05:23PM | 0 recs
Re: We best be getting ready for Huckabee ..

Gingrich is kind of the anti-Gore... lurking in the wings, working the phones, plotting his ascent. Despite being the source of 90's partisanship, Dems have not done a good job pinning that tag on him for whatever reason (like accusing their own of being too partisan... blech). Gingrich might think he can appeal to independents and not have as much of an Iraq image problem as McCain is going to.

by joesaho 2007-01-28 05:34PM | 0 recs
Re: Rasmussen Reports: McCain is Tanking

I'm a bit worried about McCain. Not that he'll win, but that he'll tank too early.

He is unelectable in the general; his transparent pandering and warmongering will make his credibility fall as fast as the Iraqi government. If conservatives realize soon that his much vaunted credibility is a sham and that he'll sink the Party, they'll rally around some other candidate. I predict it'll be Brownback or Huckabee; I'm much more worried about Huckabee winning, but Brownback has a better chance of getting through the primary.

Contrast this to a late McCain collapse; you'll have a bloody internecine war among the Republicans going into their primaries as none of them will have the maturity to win on anything besides slander and dirty tricks. Not one of their candidates will escape unscathed, and it'll guarantee the victory of any of the actual contenders for the Democrats.

Perhaps it's time to start talking up McCain?

by Zephyrus 2007-01-28 05:15PM | 0 recs
I Thought He Was Toast Long Ago

Like, when Bush gave him that birthday cake as New Orleans drowned.  And like you, I've been rooting for a long, slow, lingering political demise ever since.

by Paul Rosenberg 2007-01-28 06:00PM | 0 recs
Better Yet.

   It would be great if the Republican establishment did end up backing McCain.  As McCain collapses, the establishment will be fighting with base.  If that happens who knows who the nominee would be - it could be someone like Brownback or Hunter.  It seems impossible that this won't be the bloodiest Republican primary ever.  Two unpopular moderates as leaders of the pack against a base which will split it's vote amongst the hard-right candidates - terrific.

by cilerder86 2007-01-28 06:23PM | 0 recs
Re: Rasmussen Reports: McCain is Tanking

I'm betting on Romney, despite his flaws.  I mean hell, he's got Hastert and Boehner behind him... he can't go wrong. ;)

by Vox Populi 2007-01-28 05:47PM | 0 recs
Re: Rasmussen Reports: McCain is Tanking

Yo! Bring on dat Huckabee clown. Religious WingNut....

Yeah, sure ever body wants the likes of Lott and Brownback 'hepin' ya deal with yer in-laws about....

gay marriage...

brain dead relatives the medical industry wants to keep on life-support so as to strip mine said relatives estate...

stem cells...

The MeatGrinder...gotta keep workin' on da Apocalypse, End Times...whatever.

Thing is independents will determine who wins in 2008 and they are pukin' sick of the theocratic assault on just about everything.

Huckabee and Brownback will make Mcgovern's' fabled loss look like a walk in the park.

by Pericles 2007-01-28 06:21PM | 0 recs
Re: Rasmussen Reports: McCain is Tanking

I want Rudy- it's a win-win. He's pro choice and he'll drive the conservatives crazy not to mention his support for the troop escalation in Iraq. Defeating him will be a cakewalk, no matter who the nominee is.

by bsavage 2007-01-28 06:31PM | 0 recs
Who the GOP nominee WON'T be

Who can't get past the evangelicals

1. McCain - they KNOW he despises them and that every suckup is totally insincere.
2. Romney - the flip flops....what's his excuse? He can't say he found Jesus, because he supposedly already knew Jesus when he did his previous stances.

Because of the GOP problems with corruption, the evangelicals will want someone who is authentic.

They might like Rudy, but it's gonna be hard for them to get past that the man had his MISTRESS in the SAME HOUSE with his WIFE AND CHILDREN.

Or that Newt didn't even let his wife, sick with CANCER, out of the hospital, when he served her with papers.

How either one of these guys will reflect upon THEM is something the evangelicals can't take a chance on now.

I don't know who the nominee WILL be...

But, I just don't think it's gonna be McCain, Romney, Rudy or Newt.

by rikyrah 2007-01-28 07:01PM | 0 recs


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