Republican Attacks on Pelosi Still Not Sticking
by Jonathan Singer, Thu Sep 28, 2006 at 07:39:21 PM EDT
Over the course of this campaign season, House Republicans in competitive districts across the country have tried to attack their Democratic challengers by tying them to Nancy Pelosi, the "San Francisco liberal" who would be Speaker if the Democrats were to gain a majority in the House.
Several weeks ago I looked at polling on Pelosi's name recognition and found that, although her favorable ratings were not particularly high, a 53 percent majority of Americans did not know enough about the Democratic leader to form an opinion. Today, that number remains effectively unchanged, seriously calling to doubt the Republican strategy of attacking Pelosi.
According to the latest Hotline-Diageo poll (.pdf), just 40 percent of registered voters and 51 percent of likely voters know enough about Pelosi to form an opinion about her. The 54 percent of registered voters who don't know enough about her to form an opinion is statistically unchanged from previous polling, indicating that the Republican tactic is largely failing.
Pelosi's favorable/unfavorable spread is 18/22 among registered voters and 23/28 among likely voters. While this isn't great, it's not terrible, either. Even among registered Republicans, only 38 percent rate her unfavorably -- not a particularly high number for someone as maligned in paid media as Pelosi.
If House Republicans believe that they can retain control of the chamber by bashing Nancy Pelosi, they are terribly wrong.