More DCCC and NRCC Expenditures
by Chris Bowers, Mon Sep 18, 2006 at 11:10:41 AM EDT
OH-18: Zack Space ($248,923.20); NY-24: Mike Arcuri ($183,147.20); FL-22: Ron Klein ($159,288); PA-10: Chris Carney ($163,464.00); VA-02: Phil Kellam ($140,115.95); IN-09: Baron Hill ($139,955.75); IN-08: Brad Ellsworth ($118,882.40); IA-03: Leonard Boswell ($111,750.50); NC-11: Heath Shuler ($93,075.20); WI-08: Steven Kagen ($89,129.60); IN-02: Joe Donnelly ($72,023.36); PA-06: Lois Murphy ($63,348.16); VT-AL: Peter Welch (this was actually an expenditure for GOP Rep. Martha Rainville) ($61,971.20); PA-07: Joe Sestak ($55,722.24); CT-04: Diane Farrell ($53,510.65); GA-08: Jim Marshall ($37,558.40); IL-08: Melissa Bean ($33,626.88); WA-08: Darcy Burner ($25,586.91); IL-06: Tammy Duckworth ($18,095.89); AZ-08: Gabrielle Giffords ($12,106.40)In total, Republicans are adding another $1.88M of independent expenditures through these ads, bringing their total independent expenditures on TV ads / production up to around $3.6M since July 1st. The NRCC is spending 87% of their money in districts held by Republicans, which is an increase from 6.8% of their non-polling expenditures being spent in districts in the report Kombiz put together on Saturday. The difference comes entirely from one district, IA-03, which brings the total number of Democratic held districts the NRCC appears to be targeting up to four. Since, by way of contrast, they have made independent, non-polling expenditures in 21 Republican held districts, the NRCC is clearly playing defense this year.
Also, their buys in PA-06 and PA-07 strike me as token support, since in the expensive Philadelphia media market those amounts come out to around 110 network points for PA-07, and around 125 network points in PA-06. That will barely register a blip in those two districts. AZ-08 is also clearly a token gesture to the wingnut nominee, Graf.
On our side, the DCCC has added at least eight more races, and possibly quite a few more, to their target list. Today, their released their latest additions to their "Red to Blue" program, which give campaigns financial support and mentorship from sitting Democratic Representatives. The new additions are:Gabby Giffords (AZ-08), Phil Hare (IL-17), Paul Hodes (NH-02), Steve Kagen (WI-08), Dan Maffei (NY-25), Angie Paccione (CO-04), Betty Sutton (OH-13), HI-02 Winner I like the individuals they added, but did they really have to include Democrats form such safe--but open--seats as IL-17 and HI-02? OH-13 isn't exactly a nailbiter either. Of their previous thirty-five additions, only one was from a Democratic held seat:Darcy Burner (WA-08), Phyllis Busansky (FL-09), Joe Courtney (CT-02), John Cranley (OH-01), Jill Derby (NV-02), Tammy Duckworth (IL-06), Brad Ellsworth (IN-08), Diane Farrell (CT-04), Kirsten Gillibrand (NY-20), Tessa Hafen (NV-03), Baron Hill (IN-09), Mary Jo Kilroy (OH-15), Ron Klein (FL-22), Nick Lampson (TX-22), Ken Lucas (KY-04), Patricia Madrid (NM-01), Harry Mitchell (AZ-05), Chris Murphy (CT-05), Lois Murphy (PA-06), Heath Shuler (NC-11), Peter Welch (VT-AL), Mike Arcuri (NY-24), Bruce Braley (IA-01), Chris Carney (PA-10), Joe Donnelly (IN-02), Christine Jennings (FL-13), Phil Kellam (VA-02), Patrick Murphy (PA-08), Ed Perlmutter (CO-07), Joe Sestak (PA-07), Zack Space (OH-18), Linda Stender (NJ-07), Mike Weaver (KY-02), Patty Wetterling (MN-06), Charlie Wilson (OH-06) This is generally a good list, but I think their targeting priorities are screwed up to have KY-02 so high. I would rank several other campaigns, including KY-03, ahead of KY-02. Maybe someone was owed a favor. The DCCC also released their list of seats that apparently they are looking for in a wave election, their "emerging races.":Charlie Brown (CA-04), Jack Davis (NY-26), Judy Feder (VA-10), Peter Goldmark (WA-05), Larry Kissell (NC-08), Tim Mahoney (FL-16), Eric Massa (NY-29), Jerry McNerney (CA-11), Dave Mejias (NY-03), Maxine Moul (NE-01), Dan Seals (IL-10), Bob Shamansky (OH-12), Ellen Simon (AZ-01), Tim Walz (MN-01), Victoria Wulsin (OH-02) Again, not a bad list, but I am very disappointed that McNerney in particular is not in the higher category of support. CA-11 is one of the 21 Republican-held seats where the NRCC has made independent expenditures so far. In fact, they have spent more than 100K in non-polling expenditures in CA-11, placing it 14th in the NRCC's overall expenditure list since July 1st. Given this, one thinks that the NRCC sees similar results to the poll in May that showed McNerney ahead. I bet the DCCC would be targeting that seat more vigorously had their chosen candidate, Steve Filson, not been handily defeated by McNerney in the primary. The way they are treating McNerney is petty, disrespectful, and counter-productive.
Ten netroots-endorsed candidates are on their target list, no matter how low. I can dig that.
Update: Ed Perlmutter, CO-07, was also added to the top-tier list.