A Look Under the March / April Straw Poll, Part Two
by Chris Bowers, Tue Apr 11, 2006 at 10:41:41 AM EDT
Well, through the magic of instant run-off voting, I am now able to provide that answer. The first 840 people who filled out the entire ballot in the March / April straw poll gave the following last place results:
I did not count those people who included either "other" or "unsure" as their last choices, since such votes don't actually tell us anything. These numbers, however, do tell us quite a bit. Here are my thoughts:
- First, a lot of readers here really do not like Joe Biden. He is not that prominent in the Democratic leadership, is not considered a strong contender for 2008, but he still nearly topped this poll as people's last choice. Whoever wins, please, for the love of God, don't pick Biden as your VP.
- Second, there are no major "anyone but" campaigns for the online favorites: Clark, Edwards, Feingold and Warner. Combined, they make up less than 9% of all last-place choices. I find this a tremendous relief. Perhaps supporters of these candidates will be able to act in a civil and productive fashion to one another online during 2007. It also seems like people are supporting those four right now because they like those four, nto because they despise someone else.
- Richardson has a shockingly low number of last-place votes. In fact, outside of Clark, Warner, Feingold and Edwards, he is the only candidate with fewer last place votes than first place votes. This guy is the anti-Biden. I don't know what Richardson's 2008 chances are, but clearly people would not be upset to see him on the ticket. If only he were as good looking as Matt Santos...
- Kerry hating is definitely subsiding online. There was a Dailykos "last place" poll a while back that had Kerry tied with Biden and Clinton for the top spot. Perhaps Kerry hasn't won too many new supporters online with his recent actions, but he has lost a lot of haters. That is a type of progress.
- When it comes to Vilsack, who regularly finishes last in these straw polls, it isn't so much of an anti-Vilsack sentiment as it a "whatever, dude" sentiment. Reminds me of Bob Graham.
- Memo to Daschle: don't bother.
- For what it is worth, Feingold and Edwards supporters were more anti-Biden than anti-Clinton, while Clark and Warner supporters were more anti-Clinton than anti-Biden. Half of the anti-Feingold vote came from Clark supporters, but even then Feingold only received 13% of the last place votes from Clark supporters.