Bush Quacks Like a Lame Duck

Now that the American people have had two weeks to digest George W. Bush's State of the Union address, polling indicates that the President's approval ratings are slumping -- the first time they have done so in months.

According to the Gallup poll commissioned by CNN and USA Today, President Bush's approval rating has dropped three points since earlier this month. The official number sits at 39 percent -- the first time since November that Bush has come in below 40 percent approval.

While this poll, in and of itself, might not mean much (Bush's drop is below the margin of error), the trend found in the most recent Gallup survey has been corroborated in polling from other organizations. The latest Harris poll commissioned by the Wall Street Journal shows the President at 40 percent, a three point drop from January. Today's Marist poll also finds President Bush's approval number to be 40 percent, even lower than it was in October following the botched response to Hurricane Katrina. Yet another poll, the one released yesterday by Survey USA, shows President Bush at a 40 percent approval rating, down a point over the last month.

As Chris has stated a number of times in recent months, the key number for President Bush is 43 percent approval. If he can inch up to a respectable number in the mid-forties, the outlook for the Republican Party in November will not be quite as bad; however, if President Bush lingers in the low forties or even the thirties, the GOP will have a very tough time holding both -- or either -- House of Congress.

President Bush's State of the Union address, which could have provided him an opportunity to move above 43 percent, must be deemed a failure. Unless there is a particularly large and effective human/animal hybrid lobby operating around the country, it appears that the American people simply have lost faith or interest in what George W. Bush has to say.

To me, it appears that all the American people are hearing out of the White House is quacking. And when the President sounds like a lame duck and starts acting like a lame duck (banning human/animal hybrids? c'mon), chances are he is a lame duck.

Tags: Approval Rating, George W. Bush, State of The Union (all tags)

Comments

10 Comments

Re: Bush Quacks Like a Lame Duck

With Diebold et al. counting the votes in 75% of America by next fall that 39% will suddenly be 63% it must be magic or maybe Karl turned out rt. wing yahoo alive? The D's will fold up and go away and never challenge the result.

by Blutodog 2006-02-17 02:29PM | 0 recs
Re: 39%

There was this from Pew Research:

Americans Taking Abramoff, Alito and Domestic Spying in Stride
Democrats Hold Huge Issue Advantage
Released: January 11, 2006

Bush's approval rating has not changed since December (38% approve/54% disapprove).

Link is to the summary findings, quote from para. 5.  Gotta say I trust their research more than CNN, et. al.

by rba 2006-02-17 02:44PM | 0 recs
Re: Bush Quacks Like a Lame Duck

You know what I thought of. Here at MyDD and even over at DailyKos you guys print polls released by Rasmussen as gospel truth. These polls tend to show the GOP candidate fairing better than the Dem. This included last week when polls were released for New Jersey and PA showing gains by Keane and Swann respectively. (Subsequent polling has shown a lead for Menendez and a larger lead for Rendel).

However, Rasmussen has a poll showing Bush at 49% this week. Which is nonsense in every way. In fact, Rasmussen usually shows a higher support total for Bush. So isn't it possible that the local races Rasmussen does is tilted towards the republicans as well???

by JackBourassa 2006-02-17 03:00PM | 0 recs
Re: Bush Quacks Like a Lame Duck

Yep! He's a GOP hack! Stilted all the way.

by kitebro 2006-02-27 02:07PM | 0 recs
Caution

The only caution to these polls I would suggest are that the Dems are famous for snatching defeat from the jaws of victory and Rove is good at one thing and that is to win elections by changing the frame.

There is an excellent diary on dKos about Rove orchestrating a "Victory in Iraq" with a "withdrawal" and ticker tape parades. And lambasting the Dems for being weak of national security and coddling the terrorists. The Dems have never shown any ability to respond to swiftboating or proactively going after the Repubs with a tight attack message.

by ab initio 2006-02-17 03:17PM | 0 recs
Add some more polling to that

Bush approval in 15 national polls care of Professor Pollkatz.
http://www.pollkatz.homestead.com/files/ pollkatzmainGRAPHICS_8911_image001.gif

As someone noted if this graph was the chart of a stock price you'd be grabbing your phone and screaming "sell, sell, sell!" to your broker.

by Bruce Webb 2006-02-17 03:34PM | 0 recs
He's Not a Lame Duck Until Cheney Shoots Him...

Are they giving odds in Vegas, yet?

by Paul Rosenberg 2006-02-17 04:52PM | 0 recs
The only relevant # is the # of people

who support the wiretaps. Those people control the country now. And because of that Bush and Roberts can do whatever the hell they want. This is not a Lame Duck situation.

by Landsurveyor 2006-02-17 05:32PM | 0 recs
Re: Bush Quacks Like a Lame Duck

YEAH, THE BUSH TEAM IS DEFINITELY OFF THEIR GAME THIS TERM, BUT REMEMBER TWO THINGS:

1. THE COMMENT ABOVE IS RIGHT. NO MATTER HOW BADLY BUSH IS DOING, THE DEMS COULD STILL SCREW THE POOCH.

2. BUSH IS RELENTLESS. HE'S LIKE ONE OF THOSE VILLIANS IN THE SLASHER MOVIES. HE CAN GET SHOT, STABBED, BEATEN TO A BLOODY PULP, AND HE'LL KEEP COMING BACK. (WITNESS THE RETURN OF HIS SOCIAL SECURITY SCAM.)

BUSH WON'T TRULY BE A "LAME DUCK" UNTIL NOVEMBER 2008. UNTIL THEN, HE MUST BE FOUGHT WITH EVERTHING WE'VE GOT.

by Bush Bites 2006-02-18 04:08AM | 0 recs
Re: Bush Quacks Like a Lame Duck

Uh, it's not polite to shout. And it hurts our eyes.

by Michael Bersin 2006-02-18 05:04AM | 0 recs

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