Republicans on 08
by Jerome Armstrong, Thu Dec 14, 2006 at 03:34:18 AM EST
I wondered about whether Brownback was showing signs of traction in the Republican '08 nomination contest a few days ago. Soren Dayton follows up on it at Eye on 08 by taking a look at the prospect, but then shooting it down.
Still, Brownback was reported saying the other day on Kansas PR that, "he'll use the internet to spread his message and raise campaign funds. He compared his position to that of Howard Dean and Jimmy Carter -- candidates who overcame a lack of name recognition to eventually win broader support."
And Markos notes the compacted Republican nominating calendar:You thought the Democrats front-loaded in 2004?
Take a look at this calendar:
January 21: Iowa
January 28: New Hampshire
February 5: Alabama, Arizona, Arkansas, Florida, Michigan, Missouri, New Jersey, New Mexico, North Carolina, North Dakota, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Utah, and West Virginia.
That's 16 states in the first two weeks of the race, including delegate-rich New Jersey, Florida, Missouri and Michigan, giving the guy with the most media buzz and money an advantage. At this early point of the race, that person is McCain.Feb 5th could benefit McCain, provided that he goes into the state with momentum; but let's say that McCain loses both Iowa (I'd say this is probable) and New Hampshire (less probable), then Feb 5th is not a deal closer.
It seems entirely possible that McCain fades over the next year, both with a conservative or two rising, and the becoming-more-likely possibility that Rudy gets into the contest.