Jewish Voters, Latinos Boost Support for Dems in a BIG Way

JTA has put out the following release:

Jews voted for Democrats in their highest numbers in 14 years, an exit poll showed.
Democrats garnered 87 percent of Jewish votes, the CNN exit poll by Edison Media Research said, while Republicans earned 10 percent.

That was opposed to 55 percent of all respondents who voted Democrat and 44 who voted Republican. About 200 of the 10,207 respondents were Jewish.

Jews led all religions in voting for Democrats.

Jewish voters were not the only group to significantly boost their support for Democrats yesterday. According to national exit polling on the House, Latino voters supported Democratic congressional candidates by 16 percent more than they did John Kerry in 2004. Those without a high school diploma upped their support by 15 points over the past two years (from 53 percent to 69 percent). In both big cities and rural areas around the country, voters supported Democratic candidates by 8 points more than they backed Kerry. Across the board, Democrats made big gains yesterday as Americans of almost every political stripe and demographic background voted Democratic more than they had in 2004 -- and in fact any recent election. So not only was this a deep victory for the Democratic Party and Democratic ideals, it was also a very broad victory, perhaps one that even portends greater or more permanent shifts in the electorate to come.

Update (Chris): Check out the full the national House exit poll online. Fascinating stuff.

Tags: 2006, Jewish Voters, Latinos (all tags)



Support for Dems in a BIG Way

Also, the Native American community in MT gave a big boost to Tester's campaign.

by global yokel 2006-11-08 01:10PM | 0 recs
Re: Jewish Voters, Latinos Support Dems in a BIG W

I wouldn't get too carried away. The voters wanted change and they got it. Now the Dems have to perform.

As long as the Dems stay away from the conventional wisdom of the punditocracy and stay firm for their principles they can win again in 2008. That means holding this Administration accountable. Investigate the decision making and abuse of power that lead to the disaster in Iraq.

IMO this was a repudiation of Bush and the wingnuts and their abuse of power. This was also a repudiation of the Rahm "Centrist" and Repub-lite model. Many of Rahm's handpicked candidates that he lavished with money lost. This was an affirmation of the grassroots/netroots and their candidates that stood on principle, accountability and not being beholden to corporate interests.

Its not too early to start getting prepared for 2008. A clear focus on winning the remainder of the north east, mid-west and mountain west. Getting a strong Presidential candidate without the baggage of supporting the Iraq occupation, a clear plan to withdraw from Iraq and bringing stability to the middle east. A candidate with a message of economic populism and libertarian positions on social issues. The battle to rid the Dem party of the DC establishment "appeasers" without any courage of conviction.

by ab initio 2006-11-08 01:15PM | 0 recs
All three

of the demographics I was interested in: Latinos, Catholics and Families w/ Children moved for the Democrats.

Families with Children went from near parity: 49-51.  That's it right there.

by kid oakland 2006-11-08 01:15PM | 0 recs
Re: Jewish Voters, Latinos ...
Why did 24% of gays vote Republican? Is marriage so scary.
by melh 2006-11-08 01:26PM | 0 recs
Re: Jewish Voters, Latinos Boost Support for Dems

How long until we get the "If only white Protestant men could vote, we would have won!" talking point from the Repuglicans?

by Zephyrus 2006-11-08 01:33PM | 0 recs
any word on the national popular vote?

by msnook 2006-11-08 01:42PM | 0 recs
Look at the gay percentage

Two stats that stood out for me as a gay hispanic:

Latino voters:  69% Democrat
gay voters:  24% Republican

I am sorry, but almost one in four gay people voting GOP is disgusting.  Latinos made me proud and came home and gays are great at 74% Democratic.  

However, I just shake my head about the one in four gay brother or sister who votes for a party that would send us to the camps.

by jgarcia 2006-11-08 02:10PM | 0 recs
Ummm... Jonathan?

The MoE on the jewish vote for this poll is so astronomical as to make any comment on it unrealistic.  The MoE for this poll is more than 3%.  The Number of people polled who self-identified as jewish?  Less than 3%.  

Even a 50 point swing from the 2004 exit polls on the jewish vote would be statistically insignificant.  

The Latino and Gay margins are more interesting; and the Native American question is also very interesting, since you can track the NA vote by county, or at least the non-Urban Indian vote, the vote on the Rez.  


by johnowens2 2006-11-08 02:36PM | 0 recs
Re: Ummm... Jonathan?

actually, looking at it again, the # of Jews polled is better than I first thought.  Still not statistically very significant, but 200 is not a totally bad sample.  But the MoE has still got to be in the 20%-%40 range.  

by johnowens2 2006-11-08 02:38PM | 0 recs
Re: Ummm... Jonathan?

The MoE would be closer to 6.9 percent. So given that the shift from 2004 to 2006 was about 10 points and the margin of error for 2004 numbers was about 2.5 percent, the shift is statistically significant.

by Jonathan Singer 2006-11-08 02:57PM | 0 recs
Re: Jewish Voters, Latinos Boost Support for Dems

Let's remember that Jews and Latinos are two groups that the Republicans have been actively targeting since Bush took office.  

And they failed.  Welcome home, mensches and muchachas!

by Kindler 2006-11-08 05:32PM | 0 recs
Re: Jewish Voters, Latinos Boost Support for Dems

Jewish Democrats also did well as candidates. Six new Jewish Democrats won House seats and two were elected to the Senate. They are Gabrielle Giffords in Arizona, Yarmouth in Kentucky, Cohen in Memphis, Kegen in Wisconsin, Hodes in New Hampshire and Klein in Florida. Ben Cardin of Maryland and Bernie Sanders in Vermont join nine other Jewish Democrats in the Senate. Poor Arlen Specter is the only Jewish GOP Senator and I suspect he'll join his brethren on the other side of the aisle pretty soon. For all the  GOP propaganda about a Jewish drift to the right, this is a rude surprise!

by DemFromMem 2006-11-08 05:53PM | 0 recs
Re: Jewish Voters, Latinos Boost Support for Dems

Norm Coleman is also Jewish.  From Brooklyn, in fact.

by Steve M 2006-11-08 06:03PM | 0 recs
Re: Jewish Voters, Latinos Boost Support for Dems

Norm Coleman could actually switch -- I'd rank him higher than Spectre. He's maybe the least principled Senator there is and he can see the writing on the wall re: 2008 (when the GOP will be defending a HUGE number of Senate seats). Why be in the minority when he can grandstand? It's not like he has any ideology that might conflict with anything.

by ConnecticutHack 2006-11-08 07:36PM | 0 recs

Statistically, white people really suck especially old, Protestant, rich, married, white men with children. via Jonathan's link

TOTAL              Democrat Republican
White Men    44%       53%
White Women  49%      50%
Non-White Men      75%      23%
Non-White Women 78%      21%

TOTAL             Democrat Republican
White            47%      51%
African-American89%      10%
Latino      69%      30%
Asian              62%      37%

by nonwhiteperson 2006-11-08 07:37PM | 0 recs
Youth Turnout Up!

Americans under 30 turned out at an estimated 24% rate this year, better than in 2002 and 1998.  Remember by age group, the youth vote is the only one Kerry won (as opposed to statistically tying) in 2004.

-29 years and 348 days old

by Sandwich Repairman 2006-11-09 05:39AM | 0 recs
Re: Youth Turnout Up!

Here's a press release on the subject: erm_06.pdf

by Sandwich Repairman 2006-11-09 05:39AM | 0 recs
Good news but unfortunately...

the American Jewish community seems to be trending Republican overall.  Jews have fallen to the Democrats' 2nd best voting block.  African-Americans are #1.

by Sandwich Repairman 2006-11-09 05:42AM | 0 recs


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