Just A Step Forward--But What a Step!

Here is where we stand right now:
  • National Sweep. Democrats take the national majority in the House, Senate, Governors, and State Legislatures. The only thing Republicans have left--Bush--still sports a sub-40% approval rating.

  • We won bigger than they ever did. Democrats look set to take the House, and with a larger majority than Republicans ever had during their 1994-2006 "revolution." We also won more Senate campaigns in a single cycle, 23-24, than either party has won since at least 1980.

  • Republicans shut out: No House, Senate, or Governor pickups for Republicans. That breaks every record for futility. No one can ever do worse than they did this year.

  • Geographic shift. This is the first time in 54 years that the party without a southern majority now has the House majority. Power flows to coasts. Tom Schaller utterly vindicated.

  • Progressive Caucus Rising. Make no mistake about it--a member of the Progressive Caucus is now speaker of the House. Further, both Progressive caucus members who ran for Senate won easily, Sanders in Vermont and Brown in Ohio. And now, the Progressive Caucus will control half of all House committees.

  • Blue District Victories. Wave of new conservative Democrats, my ass. Mark down House victories in NH-01, NH-02, NY-24, FL-22, PA-07, PA-08, IA-01, IA-02, CO-07, AZ-08, KY-03, CT-05, CA-11, MN-01, and NY-19. Now someone tell me again how the new wave of Democrats is overwhelmingly conservative with these districts and reps making up the majority of the new class.

  • Netroots victories. Covered below.

  • Republicans beaten at the top of their game. Republicans broke all of their fundraising and voter contact records this year. They had better maps than ever before. They had a better opportunity to pass whatever legislation they liked than every before. And they were still crushed.

  • Many Democrats desperate to immediately lose majority. Some can't bash party's grassroots and left-wing fast enough in order to, supposedly, make themselves look better. Would rather improve personal position on Sunday talk show circuit than stay in power.

  • We are just getting started. This is a big step, and much need vindication for our efforts. But it is still just a step. This is no time to start being risk-averse. We must continue to pursue the strategies that brought us here: silent revolution, fifty-state strategy, small donor explosion, progressive movement, we are all in this together.

  • Lots of recounts and runoffs to go. As discussed below. Also, TX-23 and LA-02 await.
A big thank you goes out to every Democrat who didn't run against the Democratic Party in this election cycle. Those who stuck with us can share in the spoils. Those who didn't can stick it, and expect continuing retribution. The Democratic Party won tonight. If you ran from it, then you lost. Even if you didn't lose today, you loss is coming soon. Count on it.

And now, we govern.

P.S. Carol Shea-Porter for DCCC chair!

Tags: 2006 elections, Democrats, progressive movement (all tags)

Comments

78 Comments

Re: Just A Step Forward--But What a Step!

"Tom Schaller utterly vindicated."

I wouldn't go that far. Schaller has some good ideas, and some whacked ideas too-- these center mostly around how he designs that the path to a Democratic majoirty is to ostracize through an anti-southerness in order to regionally isolate the Republicans. We can beat them with a 50 state strategy instead.

by Jerome Armstrong 2006-11-08 12:03AM | 0 recs
Re: Just A Step Forward--But What a Step!

Geographic shift. This is the first time in 54 years that the party without a southern majority now has the House majority. Power flows to coasts.Tom Schaller utterly vindicated

Is this the beginning of the death of the Republican's infamous racist Southern Strategy? Let us hope so.

by molly bloom 2006-11-08 03:16AM | 0 recs
We can hope

but keep in mind, the Southern Strategy still worked in TN this year to some extent.

Also, the point of the Southern Strategy was to break the back of the traditional lock on power held by the dems since the civil war in the south, the goal being to shatter the ruling coalition of northern urban ethic whites with southern segregationists - which it did.  However, time marches forward, the country has been changing, and the southern strategy may still sway elections in the south but IMO it has become a cancer on the whole GOP, hurting brand "republican" in the eyes of what would otherwise be the traditional GOP's northern and western constituencies (middle class sub and exurbans).

Just as dems couldn't seal the deal by being just a coastal party, as demographics continue to shift so too will the GOP become a regional party, mostly because they will be so closely tied with rascism and racists.

by Ugluks Flea 2006-11-08 05:35AM | 0 recs
Re: We can hope
...as demographics continue to shift so too will the GOP become a regional party, mostly because they will be so closely tied with rascism and racists.
Yes, and by maintaining a 50 state strategy, we will accellerate the demise of that old plantation-KKK rump. Staying active and engaged there means putting racism under the lights and the lens. I was startled at how many didn't get the racism that was used against Ford.
by Jeany 2006-11-08 05:55AM | 0 recs
Re: Just A Step Forward--But What a Step!

Thank you. That comment echoed a sentiment I feard from Bob Edwards' analyst-guest this morning. Doyle McManus said the Dem victory vindicated Rahm Emanel at Howard Dean's expense, and suggested that Dean should step down. It really sucks to have to scream at the radio before you're out of bed. If this is the tack the media is going to take, there's no time for a victory lap.

by Jeany 2006-11-08 03:55AM | 0 recs
Re: Just A Step Forward--But What a Step!

You can only beat them with a 50 state strategy if you shift the center of power away from the South. This may sound odd, but I believe the only way to shift things there is to decrease Southern power in national politics. So long as it remains or remained the centralizing strategy there was no way a 50 state strategy could work because it would have left the Democrats (and now the republicans) beholden to one region.

by bruh21 2006-11-08 05:47AM | 0 recs
Re: Just A Step Forward--But What a Step!

A big thank you, Chris Bowers. You've been a sensible, conscientious voice throughout this election cycle. You've been a stand-in for all that I thought good about the netroots candidates, people like McNerney, Duckworth, Trauner and others. Keep up the good work.

by FellowTraveler 2006-11-08 12:12AM | 0 recs
Re: Just A Step Forward--But What a Step!

So, when do we start picking targets for 2008?

by Zephyrus 2006-11-08 12:15AM | 0 recs
Re: Just A Step Forward--But What a Step!
January, 2007.
by Chris Bowers 2006-11-08 12:17AM | 0 recs
Re: Just A Step Forward--But What a Step!

Here are 3 suggestions for Pennsylvania:

PA-18, PA-15, PA-16.

by phillydem 2006-11-08 07:28AM | 0 recs
Re: Just A Step Forward--But What a Step!

Get some sleep, Chris.  You done good.

by pseudo999 2006-11-08 12:39AM | 0 recs
Re: Just A Step Forward--But What a Step!

I know as something more akin to a journalist (more like a service provider) then an activist, so this is a bit of a risky thing to say, but I had some of my faith restored last night.

Now there can be some real oversight of Administration and a restoration of some sense of conversation between different points of view in Washington (I hope).

A great night.

phillyfuture.org - where we come together

by kmartino 2006-11-08 12:54AM | 0 recs
Re: Just A Step Forward--But What a Step!

Absolutely beautiful: "Democrats take the national majority in the House, Senate, Governors, and State Legislatures. The only thing Republicans have left--Bush--still sports a sub-40% approval rating."

Bush is scheduled to address the nation at 1:00 Eastern. Maybe he's announcing that he and his administration are resigning en masse and handing the White House over to the Dems.

Well, one can dream.

by skylights 2006-11-08 12:55AM | 0 recs
Re: Just A Step Forward--But What a Step!

WTF is happening in Montana? Tester margin is shrinking dangerously.

by Nick 2006-11-08 01:13AM | 0 recs
Re: Just A Step Forward--But What a Step!

They were recounting completely Yellowstone, now that's done (up to 94%) and Tester is still 1500 ahead. Only Gallatin and Meagher leave now, Meagher is very small (1000 voters or so), so Gallatin decides now (it's already at 33%, with 49 - 49).

Best regards

by isaaccp 2006-11-08 03:21AM | 0 recs
Re: Just A Step Forward--But What a Step!

Thinking 2008 -- well maybe there will be a Senate Race in Minnesota between Al Franken and that guy who stole the Wellstone Seat, Norm Coleman.  The announcement should be late winter or early spring, but Franken is already doing his basic organization.  

by Sara 2006-11-08 01:28AM | 0 recs
I love it!

"Carol Shea Porter for DCCC chair!"  Absolutely.  However, Carol would tell you that it took all of us to get her elected, and she talked about the love for each other, and the country, that made this campaign work.  And that is exactly what it was, love.  No machine politics here, pure grassroots, just what Howard Dean taught us.  Absolutely beautiful.

by bloomingpol 2006-11-08 02:18AM | 0 recs
Yes some of the new folks are progressive

Some though are not.  I'd like to think that we'll be fair to both groups - folks like Boyda and Hostettler deserve our support and concern.  

by fstilicho 2006-11-08 02:44AM | 0 recs
Random thoughts

 Here in Maryland we dodged a serious bullet with Michael Steele's defeat. The guy's a serious wingnut, and ran a fluff, substanceless campaign designed to conceal his true nature. And it almost worked. Good thing our voters came through, but we might not be so lucky next time.

 And while Ben Cardin's not the most inspiring campaigner, he's been a very effective congressman and he's going to do Maryland proud in the Senate. Congratulations Ben!

 I hope the Maryland Democratic Party now takes a good hard look at itself and doesn't use O'Malley's apparent (and very narrow) victory as an excuse to keep taking the state for granted. We need to develop a REAL infrastrcuture -- in a great year for Democrats nationwide, we barely held on here.

by Master Jack 2006-11-08 02:49AM | 0 recs
Re: Random thoughts

Why do you say we "dodged a bullett" with Sttle.  Cardin kicked his ass; the final margin was like 8-10.  O'Malley had a good margin too.  For all the talk, MD did very well.

by Andy Katz 2006-11-08 03:35AM | 0 recs
Re: Random thoughts

Because he thinks Steele is a wackjob...  

Steele worries me as well... Even losing by what he did, he is in a VERY blue state in a WAVE year.  He still has a political future and is one of the bad guys to keep an eye on.  My Bet is we face him again int he next 2-4 years.

Ford is the same way.  He lost a very close race in a state that trends GOP.  He lost because Corker had to resort to the worst type of Rovian tactics...Again someone who will be back and is a good candidate for a southern state.  Not my favorite kind of politician, but he is a guy I think who will eventually be able to win in Tennessee.  

by yitbos96bb 2006-11-08 04:25AM | 0 recs
Re: Random thoughts

I predicted a 10 point margin for Cardin- and I did predict Steele getting 1/4 of the Black vote and the White votes spitting 55-45 in favor of Steele.

Both candidates underperformed in their regional bases. Cardin did a little better outside the Greater Baltimore/DC Metro Area. Steele did better in Baltimore City and PG County.

Ben Cardin will be a senator in the mold of Daniel Patrick Moynihan and Paul Sarbanes-

Low Keyed like Sarbanes and Moynihan- Public Policy Wonk like Sarbanes and Moynihan but like Moynihan and unlike Sarbanes- Cardin will be a consensus builder.

by CMBurns 2006-11-08 06:33AM | 0 recs
Thank You Chris Bowers

Thanks for all your hard work.

Your writing and ideas make it easier for a lot of people to be good citizens. That's pretty cool.

by joejoejoe 2006-11-08 02:52AM | 0 recs
State Legislatures

Is there any site that has a good listing of the state legislature results overall? From looking at newspaper websites from around the country, it looks like Dems cleaned up in the Oregon House, both in Colorado, Kentucky's House, and both in Minnesota. I know all of that info is probably forthcoming though.

by mihan 2006-11-08 03:11AM | 0 recs
Re: State Legislatures

The Democratic sweep in New Hampshire took back both the state House and Senate. Picked up 6 seats in the State Senate - flipping from a 16-8 majority for the Republicans to a 14-10 majority for the Dems (only the second time since 1905). Not sure of the final number of State House pickups, but Dems now control the State House for the first time since 1911 with at least a 213 seat majority in the 400-member body.

by CAat14K 2006-11-08 03:54AM | 0 recs
Re: State Legislatures

That's excellent news. A good friend of mine is from the area near Dartmouth, and he's a recently converted Republican who has been totally fed up with the religious right's impact on their party, and he voted straight Dem for the first time ever. I've been talking politics to him for years, and it looks like it may finally have paid off.

Man, that's really great news from New Hampshire.

by mihan 2006-11-08 05:19AM | 0 recs
Re: State Legislatures

The Republicans had fought for a long time to keep the ballot option of straight party line voting - it had traditionally worked in their favor. Some R's warned that it would come back to haunt them, and this cycle it did. I haven't seen any exit polling on straight line ballots, but from anecdotes, there was a huge number of Dems and Undeclareds that voted that way - helping create the tidal wave up and down the ticket...

by CAat14K 2006-11-08 05:34AM | 0 recs
NH House

Pre-election we were down 150 to 242 in the NH House, so it's a 63 seat pickup in that one chamber alone.  

by The Democratic Legislative Campaign Committee 2006-11-08 06:14AM | 0 recs
Re: NH House

Final numbers are now looking like Dems have won 234 seats in the State House. If that holds, that's an 84 seat pick-up!

by CAat14K 2006-11-08 06:51AM | 0 recs
DLCC has info on state legislatures

www.DLCC.org

by The Democratic Legislative Campaign Committee 2006-11-08 05:33AM | 0 recs
Re: Just A Step Forward--But What a Step!

Republicans shut out: No House, Senate, or Governor pickups for Republicans.

They won Connecticut by proxy.

Huffington has a comment today crying out against Howard Dean saying the Democrats will not "cut and run" from Iraq.  That is something like George Washington telling the troops George III is still our king.

Grand victories indeed.

But the bleeding needs to stop before there is any real hope of good health for the country.  Iraq can only get worse.  Most Democrats as well as most Republicans have chosen to blind themselves to reality and even common decency.

Liberals are always at the beginning of things, never at the end.

Thanks to all who fight the good fight.  

Best,  Terry

by terryhallinan 2006-11-08 03:17AM | 0 recs
What's this about retribution?

Please tell me that we're not getting power-drunk (OK, we're definitely all deserving of a few beers).    What gains can possibly come from internecine warfare atop this?  Sometimes it's best to forgive, forget, and forge on ahead.

by fstilicho 2006-11-08 03:25AM | 0 recs
Re: What's this about retribution?

It has to go both ways. So far not a single classy gesture by Rahm towards the base or the netroots. Great way to start off the victory.

When Bush won, he made sure all his disparate segments were recognized in his victory. All I hear is gloating from the DLC types and the rise of "centrism"(which is not a bad term if it wasn't used as a way to bash the left). They take credit for everything without crediting the left for giving people like Webb the opportunith to run against the Iraq war without having to look like a kook. Webb's moderate credentials alone would not have insulated him as one can observe at the way Murtha gets bashed.

by Pravin 2006-11-08 06:49AM | 0 recs
Re: Just A Step Forward--But What a Step!

Montana - 99%, +1500 still for Tester.

Tester is going to be senator!!

by isaaccp 2006-11-08 03:28AM | 0 recs
Greatest comment ever.

"No one can ever do worse than they did this year."  -Bowers

by Cleveland John 2006-11-08 04:04AM | 0 recs
Re: Just A Step Forward--But What a Step!

Good work, everybody!  But remember, they're not going to just roll over.  Bush, Cheney, and Rove are right now planning ways to screw us over and take back everything we have won.  Celebrate today, but tomorrow it starts all over again.

Also, let me just say that my two favorite moments last night were when Webb and McCaskill came out and announced their victories.  THAT is how you do it.  Act like a winner.

by Reece 2006-11-08 04:15AM | 0 recs
Re: Just A Step Forward--But What a Step!

The fight is on now to communicate that progressives, and especially netroots progressives, brought substantial and real political force to bear in this election, and that we deserve a place at the table. How do we counter Rahm Emanual and the complicit media, besides talking ourselves up here on the web?

by johnalive 2006-11-08 04:19AM | 0 recs
Ike Skelton

Heh. Ike Skelton becomes the chairman of the House Armed Services Committee. He's said the first thing he'll do is re-establish oversight subcommittees. Let the hearings begin.

republican irrelevance precipitated by the cuts of a thousand subpoenas...

by Michael Bersin 2006-11-08 04:24AM | 0 recs
Tester will win- 1 precinct remains
Tester has plus 1735 votes. One precinct remains so an mathematical impossibility to lose. Likely to be a recount, but Tester has it.
See http://www.billingsgazette.net/
by cmpnwtr 2006-11-08 04:25AM | 0 recs
Re: Tester will win- 1 precinct remains

I heard on the news that an automatic recount will only be triggered is the margin is .25% or less of the vote. We are JUST BARELY above that right now, as far as I can tell, .255% of the vote. Not sure what that means for a recount

by Mullibok 2006-11-08 04:55AM | 0 recs
Re: Tester will win- 1 precinct remains

And he will win for saying things that others feared to say:

Tester called on President Bush to develop a plan to remove U.S. troops for Iraq. He also called for repeal of the U.S. Patriot Act, a law passed after the Sept. 11, 2001, terrorist attacks. Supporters said the law gave the federal government tools to stop future terrorist activities, while critics like Tester said it amounted to a breach of Americans' right to privacy

And (according to billingsgazette.com) progressive policies:

Tester ran on a platform of promoting alternative energy, expanding health care, and enacting middle class tax cuts. He and his wife criss-crossed the state in their red pickup truck.

This is tremendous news, as is the victory of Democrats in The Montana state house and senate races. Moreover, there is still good news about the US house race according to AP:

With 83 percent of precincts reporting, Trauner was clinging to a slender lead, 70,927 to 70,124.

by FishOutofWater 2006-11-08 05:41AM | 0 recs
Re: Just A Step Forward--But What a Step!

We're in the same place now that Lamont was after the primary. Real gains and a hell of a good showing, but now we have to drive it home and make it stick. No time to lose focus.

by johnalive 2006-11-08 04:26AM | 0 recs
Re: Just A Step Forward--But What a Step!

Great point, we should learn from his lesson.

We can't count on the Democratic establishment to reinforce our victory -- we can actually pretty much count on their undercutting it.  But if we don't stand back for a moment to see what happens when the dust settles, maybe we can knock down the giant that has taken this blow: the utterly corrupted conservative movement.

by bruorton 2006-11-08 05:31AM | 0 recs
Re: Just A Step Forward--But What a Step!

Exectly right, we have to bulldoze on and make sure every recount and challenge is met fairly and with overwhelming forces. This will be led by the lawyers, but the netroots have to stay on top of developing "Palm Beach" actions. There are flash mobs that will mobilize to counter demonstrate.

by billybob 2006-11-08 06:10AM | 0 recs
Re: Just A Step Forward--But What a Step!

Anyone know how Yellowstone County trends?  I saw a thing where the Election guy forgot to save the totals and now they are recounting... Is Yellowstone traditionally Dem or GOP?  COuld this be where they steal a race?

by yitbos96bb 2006-11-08 04:27AM | 0 recs
Re: Just A Step Forward--But What a Step!

I must say my faith has been restored!> This is the best political day of my life. And MyDD has guided me through it.

by RideDMKT 2006-11-08 04:36AM | 0 recs
Re: Just A Step Forward--But What a Step!

And no longer questioning the intelligence of the Amverican voters...

by RideDMKT 2006-11-08 04:39AM | 0 recs
Re: Just A Step Forward--But What a Step!

Meagher county is the only one left according to CNN now.  Anyone know any Demo's for it?  Montana is WAY too close.

by yitbos96bb 2006-11-08 04:44AM | 0 recs
Re: Just A Step Forward--But What a Step!

Ok Meagher county was a HEAVY Bush county in 2004 going 71 to 25% for Bush.  

The good news is that there were only 973 votes cast in 2004.  Assuming that turnout would at BEST equal these numbers, then unless Yellowstone has even more votes, I don't see how Tester loses... Granted, he would only be up by around 1000 votes, so a recount is probably imminent.  But things are looking good.

by yitbos96bb 2006-11-08 04:53AM | 0 recs
Re: Just A Step Forward--But What a Step!

OK, We've gained control! I'm happy, I'm celebrating! "but" Come January, I want to know, what is the first thing we are going to do politically to change something, anything?

by TinyTownMom 2006-11-08 05:04AM | 0 recs
Re: Just A Step Forward--But What a Step!

The other interesting thing to watch will be the shakeup on the GOP.  I have to assume that Hastert loses his leadership position based on the Foley scandal and losing the house... I can't see them naming him minority leader, but I could be wrong.  Who takes over for Frist as the Senate Minority leader is something to watch as well.  Hopefully they pick some wingnuts... if so, we might get a nice permanent shift with the Indies.  

by yitbos96bb 2006-11-08 05:08AM | 0 recs
Re: Just A Step Forward--But What a Step!

We also need to watch the MSM over the next 1/2 to year.  As much as the repubs were the big boses party of favor, the big boses also want to sell news.  With such a shift by the public, the normal "capitalist" move would be a transition to service the new direction of public opinion.  If they do change this way, then we know that sales are more important than their political desires and we can control them via consumer action.  If they don't, then we know they have to be always suspected and fought.

by Dan5602896 2006-11-08 05:26AM | 0 recs
Ohio Secretary of State

I haven't checked the State Legislature results, but I think almost as important as the Governor's race in Ohio are the races for State Attorney General and Secretary of State. Both captured, narrowly, by Democrats.

To me most importantly, that means that there is now a Democrat able to clean up the election systems mess that Blackwell left, and help ensure that Ohio has a fair vote count in 2008.

by mihan 2006-11-08 05:28AM | 0 recs
Re: Ohio Secretary of State

I will never again underestimate the ability of the American people to do the right thing. Eventually!

by conspiracy 2006-11-08 05:33AM | 0 recs
We have geographic shift or not?

I'm looking forward to what Chris calls "the first time in 54 years that the party without a southern majority now has the House majority."

But the Gang of 500 members at the Washington Post are already trying to counter that.  What are they talking about?


The complexion of the Democratic presence in Congress will change as well. Party politics will be shaped by the resurgence of "Blue Dog" Democrats, who come mainly from the South and from rural districts in the Midwest and often vote like Republicans. Top Democrats such as Rep. Rahm Emanuel (Ill.) see these middle-of-the-road lawmakers as the future of the party in a nation that leans slightly right of center.

-From Baker and VandeHei analysis

Huh?  What election were they watching?

by buttletuttle 2006-11-08 05:33AM | 0 recs
Re: We have geographic shift or not?

The south is BS, but it is accurate for the midwestern and western Dems.

by yitbos96bb 2006-11-08 05:37AM | 0 recs
Libertarians Deserting Republican Party

The Republican party is the authoritarian party of the multinational corporations. The Democratic Party   has taken in libertarian moderates like Jim Webb. New Hampshire is now solid blue because they still believe the motto "Live Free or Die". Bush was killing them.

The netroots is a coalition of liberals and libertarians as is the Democratic Party.  Rahm and the MSM are trying to sell the old, rejected, DLC package.  Sorry Rahm, we tried that product and it was solidly rejected by the customer. There are 2 tough, plainspeaking new sheriffs coming to town - Tester and Webb - who are leaders in the new libertarian-progressive coalition.

by FishOutofWater 2006-11-08 05:57AM | 0 recs
The Dem's may have won this round, but...

A lot of people are still drinking the koolaid.

I was hoping to see a greater collapse of the right-wing vs moderate Republican. Plus, a lot of races came down to the wire at 51/49 or 49/51. I'll take every win, but the electorate remains pretty conservative.

We may have consolidated blue areas in New England and the Midwest, but a lot of our gains came from moderate Dems in red districts which had more to do with hatred of George Bush and concern about the Iraq war than with an ideological shift to the left.

This lack of an ideological shift is what concerns me the most.

Colorado's conservative regions remained very conservative, voting for conservative referenda and the right-wing Republicans, including Tancredo, Musgrave and Lamborn. Around the country a lot of real nut-cases won: Sali, "mean" Jean, Corker. The "White Southern strategy" is a metaphor for rural/traditional America along with the David Brooks "Exurbia" demographic (upper-middle class, whites).  With that in mind, the Southern strategy is a lot more nationwide than people here are claiming. Aside from the Northeast, you can still see this by looking at the large swath of red covering almost all districts without the liberalizing weight of an Urban center.

So I feel that the political divide has not changed much between the Urban Liberal and "southern" demographics. The GOP has to do is a little house-keeping, fire Rummy, retire Bush & Cheney, run a "moderate" presidential candidate. The moderate or independent voters haven't been convinced and will easily float back to an attractive Repuclican. The same Conservative power centers pulling the puppet strings.

by MetaData 2006-11-08 06:33AM | 0 recs
The Loonies you mentioned pale in comparison

To the wingnut that the F-in ((c) my friend Karmen) 6th in Minnesota elected.  Michelle Bachmann makes them look normal.

I like Patty Wetterling, but she didn't fit the district.  Elwin Tinklenberg would have been a better choice.

by Hughsterg 2006-11-08 07:13AM | 0 recs
Re: Just A Step Forward--But What a Step!

I thought the term was Yellow Dog Dem

by yitbos96bb 2006-11-08 05:37AM | 0 recs
Re: Just A Step Forward--But What a Step!

Jim Marshall wins the squeaker in GA-8! But playing the "Nancy" card will make it even harder for him in 2008. . . which is why Dems should push a strongly progressive legislative agenda that does not completely alienate rural voters (e.g. minimum wage, environmental concerns, veterans benefits, election reform).  It'll still be tough to hold places like GA-8, given the misinformation in this campaign (particularly on immigration).

Here's a link to the Marshall victory speech.  No recount is expected. . .

http://www.macon.com/mld/macon/15961060. htm

by maconblue 2006-11-08 05:44AM | 0 recs
Re: Just A Step Forward--But What a Step!

The aggregated Senate vote over all races nationwide was 56.2-43.8 for Dems.  

That's over 12 points.  

12 points is a lot.

by Professor Foland 2006-11-08 05:46AM | 0 recs
Don't let the DSCC & DCCC steal OUR victory

see my full post here:

http://www.mydd.com/story/2006/11/8/1053 16/382

by lutton 2006-11-08 05:58AM | 0 recs
What does Rahm mean about LIBERALS

http://www.firedoglake.com/2006/11/08/no /#comments

In private talks before the election, Emanuel and other top Democrats told their members they cannot allow the party's liberal wing to dominate the agenda next year. Democrats will hold 30 or 35 seats that went for Bush in the past, meaning that Democratic candidates such as Brad Ellsworth in rural Indiana are likely to face competitive races again in 2008. Still, their interests are likely to collide with those of veteran liberals such as Reps. Henry A. Waxman (Calif.) and John Conyers Jr., (Mich.), who will chair committees.

How is a liberal agenda different from a Democratic Agenda?

by jasmine 2006-11-08 06:14AM | 0 recs
Re: Just A Step Forward--But What a Step!

Looking at what is still left to come in from NM-1 and WY-AL would it be safe to say those are still possible gains?

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2006//pages/ results/states/NM/H/01/county.000.html

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2006//pages/ results/states/WY/H/01/county.000.html

by conspiracy 2006-11-08 06:14AM | 0 recs
Re: Just A Step Forward--But What a Step!

Democratic Pick ups in Blue Districts
1)Perlmutter (CO-7)
2)Murphy (CT-5)
3)Klien (FL-22)
4)Braley (IA-1)
5)Loebsack (IA-2)
6)Yarmuth (KY-3)
7)Hodes (NH-2)
8)Sestak (PA-7)

assuming Democrats hold on to leads in CT-2 and PA-8= 10
Shays-CT4,Wilson-NM1 and Gerlach-PA-6 appear to have survived.

Democratic pick ups in Weak Red States
1)Mitchell (AZ-5)
2)Giffords (AZ-8)
3)McNerney (CA-11)
4)Mahoney (FL-16)- faces a tough re-election challenge.
5)Walz (MN-1)
6)Shea Porter (NH-1)
7)Hall (NY-19)
8)Gillibrand (NY-20)
9)Arcuri (NY-24)
10)Altmire (PA-4)

Democratic Pick ups in Strong Red States
1)Donnelly (IN-2)
2)Ellsworth (IN-8) landslide
3)Hill (IN-9)
Hill may face a tough race in 2008
4)Boyda (KS-2)-face a tough race in 2008
5)Shuler(NC-11)
6)Space (OH-18) landslide
7)Carney (PA-10)
8)Lampson (TX-22) face a tough race in 2008
9)Kagen (WI-8) face a tough race in 2008

Hill(IN-9) is the Democrats Frank Riggs.
Boyda(KS-2) is probally the Democrats Michael Flanagan.
I hope Kagen(WI-8) does not become another Jay Johnson.

by CMBurns 2006-11-08 06:23AM | 0 recs
Great list; Gives us some structural understanding

Several more lists may help as we look toward 2008.

- Dem retentions in Red districts, like Salazar in Colorado.
 - Dem near wins in Red districts, like Trauner (hope still flies)
 - Dem losses in blue districts.

Again, my concern is that this election was a referendum on George Bush and Iraq, not an ideological shift.

by MetaData 2006-11-08 06:47AM | 0 recs
Re: Just A Step Forward--But What a Step!

For the New Democratic Majority: An Exit Plan for Iraq

Madam Speaker has offered a 100 hour plan.  Here's a protocol for beginning to disengage from Iraq.  This protocol is creative and forward-looking, and it takes responsibility for the chaos America under Bush has created.  It cannot possibly be called "cut-and-run" or "defeatist."

Now that they've taken control of the House and perhaps the Congress, Speaker Pelosi and a united Democratic party should promote convocation of a Middle East Peace Conference with every country and faction invited, including Iran,  Hamas, Hezbollah, Israel, Syria, et al. All offensive or retaliatory operations by all participants are to cease for the duration of the Conference. The goal of the Conference will be to arrange a stable peace in Iraq so the U.S. can withdraw its forces and close its bases.  The U.S. will commit to withdraw all of its forces when the peace plan is in place and will give a gesture of good faith by immediately withdrawing 10,000 troops.  All parties must agree to the peace plan and must commit to the conference process until the plan is completed.  

by Shaman Omaha 2006-11-08 06:53AM | 0 recs
Re: Just A Step Forward--But What a Step!

Looking at the Senate Race

Cardin-(MD) won by 10 percent margin
Klobuchar-(MN) won by 20 percent margin
McCaskill (MO) won by a less than 5 percent margin.
Menendez (NJ) won by a 5 to 10 percent margin
Brown (OH) won by a 10 to 15 percent margin
Casey (PA) won by a 15 to 20 percent margin
Whitehouse(RI)won by a 5 to 10 percent margin
Corker (TN) won by a less than 5 percent margin

Cardin-MD,Klobuchar-MN,Menendez-NJ,Brown -OH,Casey-PA,and Whitehouse-RI and Sanders-VT are favored to win re-election in 2012.

McCaskill-MO,Tester-MT,Corker-TN,and Webb-VA will face a tough re-election challenge.

by CMBurns 2006-11-08 06:56AM | 0 recs
anyone know

what happened in state legislature races?  how about an update?

by snaktime 2006-11-08 06:59AM | 0 recs
Great Night.

   But I made one prediction.  If the Democrats were to take the Senate, and no we have, I said that Senator Specter would retire before the next Congress.  Specter will lose his seat as the head of the judiciary committee.  Specter LOVES that job, and he is probably crushed right now.  He also sees the handwriting on the wall for moderate Republicans.  The Republican party became more extremist last night, and Specter is one of very few Republican moderates left.  I wouldn't be surprised if he announced his retirement in December, as little bit of a fuck you to the party leadership.  Rendell would be free to appoint a Democrat of his choice.  

by cilerder86 2006-11-08 07:32AM | 0 recs
Re: Great Night.

Wanna have a little fun? Consider the consequences of Specter negotiating a switch to (D). He might consider that if Kennedy would agree to let him chair the Judiciary.

That would be a hoot on a whole slew of levels. For example, consider what that does to a certain irritant based in CT.

by KB 2006-11-08 07:51AM | 0 recs
MN-1 isn't a "blue district."

Bush got 51% in 2004 in MN-1.

by Eric Jaffa 2006-11-08 07:44AM | 0 recs
Re: Just A Step Forward--But What a Step!

If the Republicans want to play the "moderate Dems will now control the Congress" card, I don't see why that's a bad thing. It just means our agenda is strongly middle of the road, and that the broad mainstream of the public supports things like minimum wage, wider coverage of healthcare, and tossing out the Patriot Act.

What bothers me is getting stabbed in the back by our suitier comrades. Yeah, you played a part, but sure as hell we did too. Give us some respect!

by Zephyrus 2006-11-08 07:47AM | 0 recs
Re: Just A Step Forward--But What a Step!

Chris,

Here in NH-01, we LOVE your comment re Carol Shea-Porter chairing the DCCC!   What a great candidate!   What a great campaign!   Thanks to all who paid attention (at least near the end) and supported us with $$$ and with words of encouragement.

Carol Shea-Porter and her campaign will be LEGEND.

(See you in '08 when we defeat Senator John Sununu.)

by ManchesterConnection 2006-11-08 07:51AM | 0 recs
Re: Just A Step Forward--But What a Step!

A brain is a terrible thing to melt. At last, it can be shown: "Bush's Brain" meltdown. Karl who?

by Madison Guy 2006-11-08 08:16AM | 0 recs
Re: Just A Step Forward--But What a Step!

Thank you, Chris Bowers, grassroots activist.
You have been an inspiration to this proud Democrat.

The state of Maryland is back in safe Democratic hands.

Goodbye, Ehrlich.  Say Hello to Governor O'Malley
Goodbye Steele.  Say Hello to Senator Ben Cardin.

by CLK 2006-11-08 10:33AM | 0 recs
Brings tears to my eyes

Reading your post about what we have accomplished. I found tears rolling down my face.  Yes we have really done it.  Thanks for your leadership.

-----------egregious of firedoglake

by egregious 2006-11-08 12:42PM | 0 recs

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