2008 Senate Field Surpisingly Open
by Jonathan Singer, Thu Nov 23, 2006 at 08:57:25 AM EST
The new SurveyUSA 50-state Senate approval ratings are out, and nearly half of those up for reelection in 2008 have an approval rating below 55 percent -- a tangible sign of danger even this far out from the election.
- Colorado: Wayne Allard, 44 approve - 43 disapprove
- Texas: John Cornyn, 45 approve - 42 disapprove
- Oklahoma: James Inhofe, 46 approve - 41 disapprove
- New Hampshire: John Sununu, 47 approve - 44 disapprove
- Minnesota: Norm Coleman, 48 approve - 43 disapprove
- Kansas: Pat Roberts, 51 approve - 36 disapprove
- North Carolina: Elizabeth Dole, 52 approve - 40 disapprove
- Georgia: Saxby Chambliss, 52 approve - 36 disapprove
- Tennessee: Lamar Alexander, 53 approve - 36 disapprove
- Kentucky: Mitch McConnell, 54 approve 39 disapprove
- Oregon: Gordon Smith, 54 approve - 37 disapprove
- New Jersey: Frank Lautenberg, 39 approve - 45 disapprove
- Massachusetts: John Kerry, 48 approve - 50 disapprove
- Illinois: Dick Durbin, 52 approve - 38 disapprove
- Iowa: Tom Harkin, 53 approve - 40 disapprove
- Michigan: Carl Levin, 54 approve - 36 disapprove
- Louisiana: Mary Landrieu, 54 approve - 42 disapprove
While Tom Schaller was certainly proved correct on November 7 in his conclusion that the Democrats do not need the South in order to attain a majority coalition, as these numbers indicate the Dems do have some decent opportunities for gains in the Senate in so-called red states, including some in the South.
Within the list above, Kansas, which elected Democrats as Governor and Attorney General by very wide margins this month as well as a new Democratic Congresswoman, stands out in particular as an interesting state that our side would be well-served to look at. Additionally in Kentucky, where two years ago Jim Bunning had serious trouble in his reelection bid, barely garnering 50 percent of the vote against a virtual unknown, making a run at incoming Senate Republican Leader Mitch McConnell, who may be in a constant state of filibuster over the next two years, might not be such a bad idea (if only to put Republicans, as a whole, on the defensive).