Bush Plummets, Democrats Win Huge Popular Vote Victory

Democrats won the popular vote for the Senate by 12.6%, or 55.0%--42.6%. From the Huffington Post:Look how easily the media manipulates everyone's perceptions, including our own. An hour of vote tabulation reveals a stunning fact: Democrats won the popular vote for the Senate by an overwhelming 11.6% margin - 55%/42.4%. "Bipartisanship" and "compromise" are today's buzzwords, when the phrase on everybody's lips should be "mandate for dramatic change" - especially in Iraq. The thing is, Democrats had actually won the Senate popular vote for the 55-42-2 Senate, so it isn't surprising that we have a huge popular mandate when we took control.

Simultaneous to the Democratic popularity wave, Bush's numbers have crashed:President George W. Bush's response was swift and decisive--if a little late. After voters gave Republicans "a thumpin'" at the polls, handing Democrats control of both houses of Congress, Bush banished his contentious defense secretary; invited the presumptive leaders of the new House and Senate to lunch (would-be House Speaker Nancy Pelosi had pasta; the president ate crow, a Bush aide joked); and suffered through two pained photo-ops with Pelosi and Harry Reid, the Nevada Senator expected to become Majority Leader. And what did the president get for listening to the voice of the American people? The worst approval rating of his presidency.

President Bush's job approval rating has fallen to just 31 percent, according to the new NEWSWEEK Poll. I'm not sure why MSNBC decided to write this article as though the voters are being unfair to Bush, but it doesn't change the numbers. Oh wait--I know why MSNBC decided to write this article as though the voters are being unfair to Bush. Sorry about the lapse in memory and judgment.

That Democrats are only ahead 51-49 in the Senate despite a crushing popular vote victory, and that major new outlets are still presenting voters as whining, ungrateful plebs who don't understand the bi-partisan outreach of our Dear Leader, shows just how much work we still have to do in order to dismantle the levers of power Republicans have used to maintain a 50%+1 majority for so long.

Tags: polls, Senate 2006 (all tags)

Comments

22 Comments

Re: Bush Plummets, Democrats Win Huge Popular Vote

 The only bi-partisan agreement I will support is that everyone take responsibilty for their actions. You take bribes, you go to jail. You start an illegal war you go to trial as a war criminal. You pollute the envoronment your corporate charter is revoked. Oh, and I might add if you lie to the American people on the public air waves your broadcast liscense is pulled. We are a nation of laws and they must be enforced for the common good, rather than re-written for special interests.  We do have the power, the question is are we brave enough to use it?

by upperleftedge 2006-11-11 08:16AM | 0 recs
Mandates

Wasn't it a "mandate" for Bush in 2004 when he won with 51% of the vote?  Now we win with like a 13% vote lead, pick up both Houses of Congress against all odds, and Bush's approval plummets to its lowest levels ever, and it's a clear indicator that the American people want a moderate, bi-partisan electorate?

Jesus, when do we get to have an objective media?

by Fran for Dean 2006-11-11 08:19AM | 0 recs
Re: Mandates

bi-partisan government

by Fran for Dean 2006-11-11 08:20AM | 0 recs
Confused

Where are the numbers for the CT Senate race going?  Is Lieberman being counted as a Dem or an independent?  How about Sanders in Vermont?  Those could throw the numbers off a bit.

by Tom 2006-11-11 08:22AM | 0 recs
Democrats Win Huge Popular Vote Victory

Given that Republicans had gerrymandered the political districts in their favor, this victory is all the more impressive.

by global yokel 2006-11-11 08:26AM | 0 recs
you can't gerrymander senate seats

by lorax 2006-11-11 12:00PM | 0 recs
by nonwhiteperson 2006-11-11 08:57PM | 0 recs
Senate 51 49

That Democrats are only ahead 51-49 in the Senate despite a crushing popular vote victory

Only 1/3 of Senate positions were in play this election.

In '08, 1/3 more, with a p/u of only 4 gets us 55/45

by ROGNM 2006-11-11 08:52AM | 0 recs
Re: Bush Plummets, Democrats Win Huge Popular Vote

Keep in mind that the "popular vote for the Senate" isn't terribly meaningful.  Seventeen states didn't have any Senatorial elections and wouldn't be counted in such a total.

What are the House numbers?  That's the interesting question.

by RickD 2006-11-11 09:14AM | 0 recs
Re: Bush Plummets, Democrats Win Huge Popular Vote

by RickD 2006-11-11 09:14AM | 0 recs
Re: Senate 51 49

Even better.

The first edit of this comment I had something like: "in '08, 1/3 more, and a similar p/u of 6, etc."

by ROGNM 2006-11-11 09:27AM | 0 recs
Re: Bush Plummets, Democrats Win Huge Popular Vote

The record will show that I predicted an 11.8% advantage in the Senate popular vote in the predictions thread.  I missed the absolute vote level.  

NB: I'm glad this is getting out.  I put it in the predictions thread and several places precisely because I knew it would be a blowout, and we'd need to get word out fast to counter their post-election idiocy.

by Professor Foland 2006-11-11 10:50AM | 0 recs
House Popular Vote

From Real Clear Politics at Time

Democrats won with 52.4% of the major party vote, compared to 47.6% for Republicans. (Because votes are still being counted, these numbers are not final and may change slightly.)

Here I missed; I expected 54-46.

by Professor Foland 2006-11-11 10:54AM | 0 recs
Re: Bush Plummets, Democrats Win Huge Popular Vote

Well... consider the 17 states that didn't have a Senate race in 2006:

Alabama
Alaska
Arkansas
Colorado
Georgia
Idaho
Illinois
Iowa
Kansas
Kentucky
Louisiana
New Hampshire
North Carolina
Oklahoma
Oregon
South Carolina
South Dakota

You've got eight very red states in there, plus four more that Bush carried in both 2000 and 2004, and two more that he carried once (Iowa in 2004, New Hampshire in 2000.)  So take some caution.

I'd add Maine to your list of seats that should be ours that are up in 2008 as we've carried it in the last four Presidential elections -- but Collins will be very difficult to take out, so let's hope she retires/switches parties.  New Mexico and Virginia are obviously predicated on Domenici and Warner, respectively, retiring, as we won't beat either of them.

by Tom 2006-11-11 11:09AM | 0 recs
Re: Bush Plummets, Democrats Win Huge Popular Vote

Er... should be "five more."  Only two of those states (Oregon and Illinois) were Democratic in both 2000 and 2004.

Anybody know what the national percentages were for House races?  I'd like to see that.

by Tom 2006-11-11 11:10AM | 0 recs
HEY HEY HEY

How dare you Chris...It's not DEAR LEADER...

IT'S FEARLESS LEADER...

Get it right ;-)

Seriously, good article!

by yitbos96bb 2006-11-11 11:09AM | 0 recs
More to come

What's also impressive is the margin in victories.  Democrats won 23 senate seats, Republicans 9.  And in the next two election cycles, Republicans will have 40 seats up for election to the Democrats' 27, leaving them much more vulnerable.

by phaed 2006-11-11 12:29PM | 0 recs
Re: More to come

2008
Possible pickups: CO (Allard), ME (Collins), MN (Coleman), NH (Sununu), NM (open?), NC (Dole), OR (Smith), VA (open?)
Defending: LA (Landrieu), SD (Johnson)
Possibly open: DE, MI, NJ

2010
Possible pickups: MO (Bond/open?), KY (open?), IA (open?), NH (Gregg), AZ (open?), PA (open?), NC (Burr), FL (Martinez)
Defending: CO (Salazar), ND (Dorgan) -- both of those are big maybes
Possibly open: WI (I'd like Feingold to be President, LOL), HI, VT, MD

So I'd say it's looking good.

by Tom 2006-11-11 12:43PM | 0 recs
Re: More to come

If McCain retires in '08 to run for President, Governor Napolitano or Attorney General Goddard will probably be favored to pick up his seat.  If he waits until 2010, Napolitano will probably be a slam-dunk, assuming she doesn't do something during her second term to reduce her current, enormous popularity.  (Goddard is more likely to run for Governor that year.)

by Alex 2006-11-11 01:23PM | 0 recs
Re: Bush Plummets, Democrats Win Huge Popular Vote
"Democrats won the popular vote for the Senate by an overwhelming 11.6% margin - 55%/42.4%." The math is a bit off... 55%/42.4% actually gives a 12.6% margin
by PatriotActor 2006-11-11 01:05PM | 0 recs
Re: Bush Plummets, Democrats Win Huge Popular Vote

You're forgiven.

Oh wait--I know why MSNBC decided to write this article as though the voters are being unfair to Bush. Sorry about the lapse in memory and judgment.

At least you didn't confuse Iraq, the country we invaded, with Iran, the country we will invade, like I often do.

by SPIIDERWEB 2006-11-11 07:36PM | 0 recs
Face it

It was a mandate.

by nonwhiteperson 2006-11-11 08:43PM | 0 recs

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