Lamont Regains Some Momentum, Trails Lieberman 46-39
by Matt Stoller, Tue Oct 10, 2006 at 08:18:01 PM EDT
A new poll by the Hartford Courant shows some momentum for Lamont.
Sen. Joseph I. Lieberman leads Ned Lamont by eight percentage points in the Senate race, although a majority of voters agree with Lamont on the war in Iraq and the need for change in Washington, a Courant/University of Connecticut poll says.
Lieberman leads Lamont among likely voters 48-40 percent, with 8 percent undecided and roughly 15 percent of both candidates' supporters saying they still could change their minds before Nov. 7.
The poll by the Center for Survey Research and Analysis found that 60 percent of voters believe going to war was wrong, and a slim majority favors a deadline for withdrawal, issues Lamont used to defeat Lieberman in the Democratic primary.
But Lieberman, who stayed in the race as a petitioning candidate, enjoys a 57 percent approval rating and has managed to capture 67 percent of Republican vote, while keeping 35 percent of Democrats in his camp. Unaffiliated voters prefer him over Lamont 45-37 percent.
With the GOP leadership tacitly backing Lieberman, Republican Alan Schlesinger is favored by only 4 percent of voters.
Lieberman's been up on the air a lot more than Lamont recently, so Lieberman's apparent bleeding of support lends some credence to the theory that he's peaked. And then there's this.
By a margin of 53-29 percent, voters said they generally favored challengers and the promise of change over incumbents and experience.
Lieberman's an excellent politician, and Lamont's a novice, so it makes sense that Lamont couldn't easily get his message of change out. It's nice to see that beginning to shift. I never believed the Zogby poll of a 20 point lead, but it does seem like Lamont has started to get momentum back.