Zogby Shows No Bush Bounce; East and West Favor Impeachment
by Chris Bowers, Thu Jun 30, 2005 at 01:17:35 PM EDT
The Zogby America survey of 905 likely voters, conducted from June 27 through 29, 2005, has a margin of error of +/-3.3 percentage points.
Just one week ago, President Bush's job approval stood at a previous low of 44%--but it has now slipped another point to 43%, despite a speech to the nation intended to build support for the Administration and the ongoing Iraq War effort. The Zogby America survey includes calls made both before and after the President's address, and the results show no discernible "bump" in his job approval, with voter approval of his job performance at 45% in the final day of polling.We will have to wait for further confirmation to really see if there was no bounce. Still, if there is not bounce, it is not a surprise. Not many people watched the speech, and those who did tended to already be Bush supporters.
On a different note, this part of the poll was particuarly interesting:In a sign of the continuing partisan division of the nation, more than two-in-five (42%) voters say that, if it is found that President Bush did not tell the truth about his reasons for going to war with Iraq, Congress should hold him accountable through impeachment. While half (50%) of respondents do not hold this view, supporters of impeachment outweigh opponents in some parts of the country.
Among those living in the Western states, a 52% majority favors Congress using the impeachment mechanism while just 41% are opposed; in Eastern states, 49% are in favor and 45% opposed. In the South, meanwhile, impeachment is opposed by three-in-five voters (60%) and supported by just one-in-three (34%); in the Central/Great Lakes region, 52% are opposed and 38% in favor.
Impeachment is overwhelmingly rejected in the Red States--just 36% say they agree Congress should use it if the President is found to have lied on Iraq, while 55% reject this view; in the "Blue States" that voted for Massachusetts Democrat John Kerry in 2004, meanwhile, a plurality of 48% favors such proceedings while 45% are opposed.
A large majority of Democrats (59%) say they agree that the President should be impeached if he lied about Iraq, while just three-in-ten (30%) disagree. Among President Bush's fellow Republicans, a full one-in-four (25%) indicate they would favor impeaching the President under these circumstances, while seven-in-ten (70%) do not. Independents are more closely divided, with 43% favoring impeachment and 49% opposed.At first I thought it was great that the word "impeachment" had finally hit the mainstream: the more it comes up, the more it weakens Bush, right? Then I thought, even if we did take control of Congress in 2007, impeachment would be a bad idea. He would be out of office soon anyway, and it could turn him into a victim in the eyes of many voters. Then I thought I wasn't sure about either position, and I should put up a poll about it. And so I have.