Kaine on top with this poll too
by Jerome Armstrong, Tue Oct 18, 2005 at 09:09:41 AM EDT
RV's LV's Tim Kaine 40 41 Jerry Kilgore 38 40 Russ Potts 5 6 Undecided 13 10That's still a lot of undecideds. Interesting that Potts is inching up, anything above 4% that Potts gets probably comes from Kilgore. Like the SUSA poll, Kilgore is having a hard time pulling in his base, while Kaine's has firmed. While 85% of Democrats are supporting Tim Kaine, only 69% of Republicans are supporting Jerry Kilgore. Only 49% of Republicans are into the race alot, vs 60% of Democrats.
It seems likely now, that Kilgore's ads have fired up the Democrats behind Kaine. I know I've felt that way. Kilgore's problem is that he's banked on an issue that few people care about, in an effort to make Kaine seem untrustful, and it's not working:Education continues to be the top issue that voters want their next governor to focus on (30%), followed by transportation (24%) and health care (21%). Despite Jerry Kilgore's recent negative ad blitz, the death penalty is at the bottom of the list (2%). Also, Kaine benefits from a gender gap advantage of 2% in both this and the SUSA poll, which if you've seen Kilgore's latest ad, you'll see why he's targeting security moms with scare tactics.